UPDATE: 4 COVID-19 fatalities recorded in last 3 days in Fauquier – Fauquier Times

Fauquier County recorded 13 positive COVID-19 cases today, 19 yesterday and 29 on Saturday. The seven-day average of cases is 22. Fauquier has reported 6,362 cases since the beginning of the pandemic.

Daily new cases of COVID-19 in Virginia were tallied at 1,997 today after reaching 2,568 Sunday and 3,422 Saturday. (Case numbers are usually lower on Sundays and Mondays.) According to reporting from the Virginia Department of Health, there have been 857,852 total reported cases (215,122 probable) of COVID in Virginia. The seven-day average of new cases in the state is 3,102.

As of Sept. 27 in the five-county Rappahannock-Rapidan Health District, 1,005 cases of COVID have been reported in children younger than 10 years old; 2,110 have been reported in those 10 to 19. In the state, there have been 50,583 cases in children younger than 10, 100,910 cases in those 10 to 19 years old.

As of Sept. 27, the seven-day positivity rate for the state (total tests compared to positive tests) is 9.2%; it has been decreasing since Sept. 9. The VDH website has not updated the testing data for individual health districts since Sept. 23; in the Rappahannock-Rapidan Health District, the positivity rating at that time was 8.9%. The Centers for Disease Control reports that the positivity for Fauquier County is currently 8.53%.

Fauquier County School Division

Local schools opened for five-day-a-week, in-person learning on Aug. 11. As of the morning of Sept. 27, 325 positive cases of COVID-19 have been reported in theschool system, 231 students and 94 staff members.

There are currently 40 active cases of COVID-19, 28 students and 12 staffers. Sixteen people came off the list over the weekend.

People stay on the active list for 10 days after first reporting an infection.

Since the beginning of school, no outbreaks have been reported in the school division; one was recorded over the summer at a school-sponsored camp.

School spokeswoman Tara Helkowski reported that, as of Sept. 23, because of contact with positive cases, 235 students are currently quarantining a drop from last weeks 259. Seven staff members are quarantining. Superintendent of Schools David Jeck said Aug. 31 that the overwhelming majority of students (95%) who have quarantined have tested negative for COVID-19.

There were 191 positive cases of COVID-19 during the 2020-21 school year, 97 in students and 94 in staff members. Cases were not included in the dashboard over the summer.

The list provided below outlines total cases since the first day of school. (Active cases are noted if the number is different from the total cases.)

Staff members testing positive include:

Fauquier lost a resident to COVID-19 Sunday, after losing two on Saturday and one on Friday. The county also reported a fatality on Sept. 17 and two Sept. 14. Before that, Fauquier reported fatalities on Sept. 9 and on Aug. 27. The county has reported a total of 80 COVID-19 related deaths since the start of the pandemic, five in September.

The VDH does not report demographic data at the county level, but in the RRHD, of the 221COVID-19 deaths reported in the RRHD so far, 98 have been in residents older than 80. There have been 58 deaths in those 70 to 79 years old, 27 deaths in those 60 to 69, and 29 deaths in those younger than 59. (For nine of the deaths, no age was reported.)

In the RRHD, one person between the ages of 10 and 19 has died. In the state, four children younger than 10 years old have died of the virus; seven of those between 10 and 19 have died.

Today the VDH reported three COVID-19 deaths in Virginia, 32 yesterday and 46 Saturday. (Reported deaths are usually lower on Sundays and Mondays.) The total number of COVID-19 related deaths in Virginia is listed as 12,592 (1,967 probable).

The seven-day average of COVID-19 deaths in the state is 40. That number generally has been rising since Sept. 7, when it was 18.

Fauquier Hospital spokeswoman Sarah Cubbage said Sept. 20 that the number of COVID-19 inpatients has been fluctuating, remaining just below or just above 10. As of Sept. 20, it was nine, she said.

According to the VDH, Fauquier County reported a new hospitalization Saturday, Sept. 25, one on Wednesday, Sept. 22, four new hospitalizations Sept. 18 and one on Sept. 19. The county has reported 17 hospitalizations since Sept. 14. Fauquier tallied 25 hospitalizations in August and 34 so far in September. The county has reported 261 since the beginning of the pandemic.

The state added 61 new hospitalizations today, 45 on Sunday and 124 on Saturday. According to the VDH, the total number of hospitalizations in the state is 36,362 (2,002 probable).

The seven-day average of new hospitalizations is 92.

In Mondays updated data from the RRHD, of the 625 people hospitalized, 110 have been older than 80 years old; 111 have been 70 to 79 years old; 117 have been between 60 and 69 years old and 125 have been between 50 and 59. One hundred and forty-eight have been younger than 50. (For 14 of the hospitalizations, age was not reported.)

In the health district, six children younger than 10 and six between 10 and 19 years old have been hospitalized. In the state, 481 younger than 10 have been hospitalized; 568 between 10 and 19 years old have been hospitalized.

TheVirginia Hospital and Healthcare Associationdata for Sept. 27 states that 2,068 Virginians are hospitalized with COVID-19. The seven-day average number of hospitalizations (2,126) has been rising since July 11, but it may be plateauing.

The VHHA reports that the number of COVID-19 confirmed or COVID-19 suspected patients who are in intensive care units as of Sept. 27 is 540. The number of COVID patients in intensive care has been generally rising since July 5, when it was 45.

Three-hundred and fifty-one COVID-19 patients are receiving ventilator support.

The VDH and VHHA compile statistics in different ways, so their data does not always match up. For instance, VHHA reported that 67,412 COVID-19 patients have been hospitalized and discharged as of yesterday, but the VDH reports that the total number of Virginians hospitalized since the beginning of the pandemic is36,362.

In the local health district, there was an outbreak reported in a long-term care facility last week. There were also outbreaks reported Sept. 18, Sept. 8, Aug. 24 and 26. There were three outbreaks between Aug. 15 and 19 in congregate settings.

One of the long-term care centers in Fauquier is listed on the list of affected facilities. White Springs Senior Living in Warrenton is reporting seven cases but no deaths. That outbreak is pending closure.

There have been a total of 59 outbreaks in the RRHD since the beginning of the pandemic -- 24 outbreaks in long-term care facilities, 21 outbreaks in congregate settings, four in correctional facilities, two in a healthcare setting, two in a childcare setting, one in a college setting and five in a K-12 setting. The total number of cases attributed to the outbreaks is 1,811.

Another long-term care outbreak is listed in Madison, at Autumn Care of Madison (32 cases). Two are listed in Orange, at Dogwood Village of Orange County (29 cases) and at Trinity Senior Village, with fewer than five cases. The outbreak at Trinity is pending closure; the ones at Dogwood and Autumn Care are in progress.

In the state, there are 1,211 outbreaks being reported in long-term care facilities (resulting in 34,855 cases and 4,331 deaths); 1,747 outbreaks in congregate settings; 266 outbreaks in healthcare settings; 191 in correctional facilities; 132 in college settings; 386 in childcare settings and 558 K-12 outbreaks being reported. There have been a total of 4,491 outbreaks in Virginia since the beginning of the pandemic.

The U.S. Centers for Disease Controlranks counties by level of transmission; Fauquier, as of Monday morning, is rated high, as are all the other counties in Virginia.(The CDC reevaluates county ratings every afternoon.)

The county was rated moderate on July 27, substantial on July 29 and high as of July 31, but the rating was changed to substantial the afternoon of Aug. 3. The rating was back up to high the afternoon of Aug. 4, and has remained there.

Community transmission is based on two metrics the number of new cases per 100,000 in the last seven days (166 for Fauquier) and percent positivity (8.58% for Fauquier) A county is rated high if there are more than 100 cases per 100,000 in the last seven days or if the percent positivity is over 10%. The numbers for Fauquier have dropped since Saturday morning, when they represented 197 cases per 100,000 and a positivity rate of 10.22%.

On July 27, the CDC issued guidance recommending that fully vaccinated individuals wear masks when indoors in areas with substantial to high transmission.

As of Sept. 27, 10,532,362 doses of COVID-19 vaccine have been administered to Virginia residents. About 67.5% of the population has been vaccinated with at least one dose; 60.1% of Virginians have been fully vaccinated. In the adult population, 80.2% have been vaccinated with at least one dose; 71.5% are fully vaccinated.

An average 13,532 vaccine doses are being administered daily in the state.

Thus far, about 61.7% of the countys residents (all ages combined) have been vaccinated with at least one dose; 55.4% are fully vaccinated. About 73.8%of adults(older than 18) have been vaccinated with at least one dose. The percentage of fully vaccinated adults is 66.5%.

For Virginians between 12 and 17, 65.1% of the population has been vaccinated with at least one dose (55.9% are fully vaccinated). Only children between 12 and 17 are eligible for the vaccine. For those 18 and older, 75.4% have received at least one dose of a vaccine (67.3% fully vaccinated); for those aged 65 and older, 89.3% have received at least one dose (82.4% fully vaccinated).

About 57.9% of Fauquier residents between 12 and 17 have been vaccinated with at least one dose (50.4% fully vaccinated); 73.8% of those 18 and older (66.5% fully vaccinated) and 88.5% of those 65 and older (80.8% fully vaccinated).

For Virginians older than 12 (which represents everyone in the state who is eligible to be vaccinated), 74.5% have received one dose; 66.3% are fully vaccinated. In Fauquier, 72.3% of the over-12 population has received one dose; 64.9% are fully vaccinated.

The VDH reports that between Jan. 17 and Sept. 18, there have been 26,926 breakthrough cases of COVID-19 in vaccinated people (.5% of total cases); 1,053 of fully vaccinated people have been hospitalized (.021% of total hospitalizations) and there have been 273 deaths in fully vaccinated people (.0054% of total deaths).

The VDH website says that unvaccinated people have developed COVID-19 7.4 times more than fully vaccinated people, and 2.4 times higher than partially vaccinated people.

The weekly COVID-19 modeling report, created by the UVA Biocomplexity Institute and posted on the Virginia Department of Health website Sept. 24, provides these key takeaways:

The map depicting the state by health districts and their caseloads is markedly different than last week. Eight health districts are considered in surge; last week there were 12. But the Rappahannock-Rapidan Health District was in a plateau last week; this week its considered to be in slow growth.

The modeling report considers what may lie ahead for the fall and winter months: The UVA team compared the seasonal transmissibility of 2020 to 2021, and found that the two are "nearly identical" if adjusted for the Delta variant's increased infectiousness. The fall/winter2020 scenario assumes the same increase will happen in 2021 and adds the effects of Delta.

We have an advantage over 2020, with a partially vaccinated population and natural immunity. But when you account for Delta's increased transmission rates, and waning immunity, this path takes us to a far higher peak than we've ever seen. Models suggest the potential January 2022 peak could reach 8,000 cases a day in Virginia.

SATURDAY, SEPT. 25: The weekly COVID-19 modeling report, created by the UVA Biocomplexity Institute and posted on the Virginia Department of Health website Sept. 24, provides these key takeaways:

COVID-19 growth trajectories by health district, as of Sept. 24

COVID-19 growth trajectories by health districts, as of Sept. 17.

The map depicting the state by health districts and their caseloads is markedly different than last week. Eight health districts are considered in surge; last week there were 12. But the Rappahannock-Rapidan Health District was in a plateau last week; this week its considered to be in slow growth.

The modeling report considers what may lie ahead for the fall and winter months: The UVA team compared the seasonal transmissibility of 2020 to 2021, and found that the two are "nearly identical" if adjusted for the Delta variant's increased infectiousness. The fall/winter2020 scenario assumes the same increase will happen in 2021 and adds the effects of Delta.

We have an advantage over 2020, with a partially vaccinated population and natural immunity. But when you account for Delta's increased transmission rates, and waning immunity, this path takes us to a far higher peak than we've ever seen. Models suggest the potential January 2022 peak could reach 8,000 cases a day in Virginia.

VDH data

Most of the information below is from Sept. 24. The VDH does not update its website Saturdays or Sundays. The information from the VHHA (on hospitalizations) and from the CDC (on rates of transmission) is from Sept. 25.Data from the school division is also as of the morning of Sept. 25. The data on testing is from Sept. 23; the VDH did not update that page Friday.

Fauquier County recorded 22 positive COVID-19 cases today, 29 yesterday. The seven-day average of cases is 24. Fauquier has reported 6,301 cases since the beginning of the pandemic.

Daily new cases of COVID-19 in Virginia were tallied at 2,886 today after reaching 3,767 Thursday. According to reporting from the Virginia Department of Health, there have been 849,865 total reported cases (212,907 probable) of COVID in Virginia. The seven-day average of new cases in the state is 3,438.

As of Sept. 24 in the five-county Rappahannock-Rapidan Health District, 1,005 cases of COVID have been reported in children younger than 10 years old; 2,110 have been reported in those 10 to 19. In the state, there have been 49,773 cases in children younger than 10, 99,818 cases in those 10 to 19 years old.

As of Sept. 23, the seven-day positivity rate (total tests compared to positive tests) is 9.7%; it has been decreasing since Sept. 9. In the Rappahannock-Rapidan Health District, the positivity rating is 8.9%. The VDH website has not updated the testing data for Sept. 24.

Fauquier County School Division

Local schools opened for five-day-a-week, in-person learning on Aug. 11. As of the morning of Sept. 25, 325 positive cases of COVID-19 (seven more than yesterday) have been reported in theschool system, 231 students and 94 staff members.

There are currently 56 active cases of COVID-19 (two fewer than yesterday), 38 students and 18 staffers. People stay on the active list for 10 days after first reporting an infection.

Since the beginning of school, no outbreaks have been reported in the school division; one was recorded over the summer at a school-sponsored camp.

School spokeswoman Tara Helkowski reported that, as of Sept. 23, because of contact with positive cases, 235 students are currently quarantining a drop from last weeks 259. Seven staff members are quarantining. Superintendent of Schools David Jeck said Aug. 31 that the overwhelming majority of students (95%) who have quarantined have tested negative for COVID-19.

There were 191 positive cases of COVID-19 during the 2020-21 school year, 97 in students and 94 in staff members. Cases were not included in the dashboard over the summer.

The list provided below outlines total cases since the first day of school. (Active cases are noted if the number is different from the total cases.)

Staff members testing positive include:

Fauquier lost a resident to COVID-19 today. The county also reported a fatality on Sept. 17 and two Sept. 14. Before that, Fauquier reported fatalities on Sept. 9 and on Aug. 27. The county has reported a total of 77 COVID-19 related deaths since the start of the pandemic, five in September.

The VDH does not report demographic data at the county level, but in the RRHD, of the 216COVID-19 deaths reported in the RRHD so far, 96 have been in residents older than 80. There have been 56 deaths in those 70 to 79 years old, 26 deaths in those 60 to 69, and 29 deaths in those younger than 59. (For nine of the deaths, no age was reported.)

In the RRHD, one person between the ages of 10 and 19 has died. In the state, four children younger than 10 years old have died of the virus; seven of those between 10 and 19 have died.

Today the VDH reported 48 COVID-19 deaths in Virginia, 54 yesterday. The total number of COVID-19 related deaths in Virginia is listed as 12,511 (1,947 probable).

The seven-day average of COVID-19 deaths in the state is 38. That number generally has been rising since Sept. 7, when it was 18.

Fauquier Hospital spokeswoman Sarah Cubbage said Sept. 20 that the number of COVID-19 inpatients has been fluctuating, remaining just below or just above 10. As of Sept. 20, it was nine, she said.

According to the VDH, Fauquier County reported a new hospitalization Wednesday, one Sept. 22, four new hospitalizations Sept. 18 and one on Sept. 19. The county has reported 16 hospitalizations since Sept. 14. Fauquier tallied 25 hospitalizations in August and 33 so far in September. The county has reported 260 since the beginning of the pandemic.

The state added 85 new hospitalizations today, 114 Thursday. According to the VDH, the total number of hospitalizations in the state is 36,132 (1,999 probable).

The seven-day average of new hospitalizations is 103.

In Fridays updated data from the RRHD, of the 623 people hospitalized, 108 have been older than 80 years old; 111 have been 70 to 79 years old; 117 have been between 60 and 69 years old and 125 have been between 50 and 59. One hundred and forty-eight have been younger than 50. (For 14 of the hospitalizations, age was not reported.)

In the health district, six children younger than 10 and six between 10 and 19 years old have been hospitalized. In the state, 471 younger than 10 have been hospitalized; 559 between 10 and 19 years old have been hospitalized.

TheVirginia Hospital and Healthcare Associationdata for Sept. 25 states that 2,099 Virginians are hospitalized with COVID-19. The seven-day average number of hospitalizations (2,144) has been rising since July 11, but it may be plateauing.

The VHHA reports that the number of COVID-19 confirmed or COVID-19 suspected patients who are in intensive care units as of Sept. 24 is 534. The number of COVID patients in intensive care has been generally rising since July 5, when it was 45.

Three-hundred and forty COVID-19 patients are receiving ventilator support.

The VDH and VHHA compile statistics in different ways, so their data does not always match up. For instance, VHHA reported that 67,238 COVID-19 patients have been hospitalized and discharged as of yesterday, but the VDH reports that the total number of Virginians hospitalized since the beginning of the pandemic is36,132 (as of Friday).

In the local health district, there was an outbreak reported in a long-term care facility today. There were also outbreaks reported Sept. 18, Sept. 8, Aug. 24 and 26. There were three outbreaks between Aug. 15 and 19 in congregate settings.

One of the long-term care centers in Fauquier is listed on the list of affected facilities. White Springs Senior Living in Warrenton is reporting seven cases but no deaths. That outbreak is pending closure.

There have been a total of 59 outbreaks in the RRHD since the beginning of the pandemic -- 24 outbreaks in long-term care facilities, 21 outbreaks in congregate settings, four in correctional facilities, two in a healthcare setting, two in a childcare setting, one in a college setting and five in a K-12 setting. The total number of cases attributed to the outbreaks is 1,811.

Another long-term care outbreak is listed in Madison, at Autumn Care of Madison (32 cases). Two are listed in Orange, at Dogwood Village of Orange County (29 cases) and at Trinity Senior Village, with fewer than five cases. The outbreak at Trinity is pending closure; the ones at Dogwood and Autumn Care are in progress.

In the state, there are 1,209 outbreaks being reported in long-term care facilities (resulting in 34,813 cases and 4,329 deaths); 1,745 outbreaks in congregate settings; 266 outbreaks in healthcare settings; 191 in correctional facilities; 132 in college settings; 387 in childcare settings and 552 K-12 outbreaks being reported. There have been a total of 4,482 outbreaks in Virginia since the beginning of the pandemic.

The U.S. Centers for Disease Controlranks counties by level of transmission; Fauquier, as of Saturday morning, is rated high, as are all the other counties in Virginia.(The CDC reevaluates county ratings every afternoon.)

The county was rated moderate on July 27, substantial on July 29 and high as of July 31, but the rating was changed to substantial the afternoon of Aug. 3. The rating was back up to high the afternoon of Aug. 4, and has remained there.

Community transmission is based on two metrics the number of new cases per 100,000 in the last seven days (197 for Fauquier) and percent positivity (10.22% for Fauquier) A county is rated high if there are more than 100 cases per 100,000 in the last seven days or if the percent positivity is over 10%.

On July 27, the CDC issued guidance recommending that fully vaccinated individuals wear masks when indoors in areas with substantial to high transmission.

As of Sept. 24, 10,484,719 doses of COVID-19 vaccine have been administered to Virginia residents. About 67.3% of the population has been vaccinated with at least one dose; 59.8% of Virginians have been fully vaccinated. In the adult population, 79.9% have been vaccinated with at least one dose; 71.2% are fully vaccinated.

An average 13,656 vaccine doses are being administered daily in the state.

Thus far, about 61.5% of the countys residents (all ages combined) have been vaccinated with at least one dose; 55.2% are fully vaccinated. About 73.7%of adults(older than 18) have been vaccinated with at least one dose. The percentage of fully vaccinated adults is 66.3%.

For Virginians between 12 and 17, 64.7% of the population has been vaccinated with at least one dose (55.2% are fully vaccinated). Only children between 12 and 17 are eligible for the vaccine. For those 18 and older, 75.2% have received at least one dose of a vaccine (67% fully vaccinated); for those aged 65 and older, 89.1% have received at least one dose (82.2% fully vaccinated).

About 57.4% of Fauquier residents between 12 and 17 have been vaccinated with at least one dose (50.1% fully vaccinated); 73.7% of those 18 and older (66.3% fully vaccinated) and 88.4% of those 65 and older (80.7% fully vaccinated).

For Virginians older than 12 (which represents everyone in the state who is eligible to be vaccinated), 74.3% have received one dose; 66% are fully vaccinated. In Fauquier, 72.1% of the over-12 population has received one dose; 64.7% are fully vaccinated.

The VDH reports that between Jan. 17 and Sept. 18, there have been 26,926 breakthrough cases of COVID-19 in vaccinated people (.5% of total cases); 1,053 of fully vaccinated people have been hospitalized (.021% of total hospitalizations) and there have been 273 deaths in fully vaccinated people (.0054% of total deaths).

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UPDATE: 4 COVID-19 fatalities recorded in last 3 days in Fauquier - Fauquier Times