Stealth Omicron: What You Need to Know About the BA.2 Subvariant – AARP

Cases of COVID-19 caused by BA.2, however, are on the rise in a handful of countries, including Denmark and the U.K. The subvariant has also been detected in the U.S. and so far accounts for about 1.5 percent of new cases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) Director Rochelle Walensky said on Feb. 2. Some scientists estimate the number is higher.

There is growing evidence that BA.2 is more transmissible, or contagious, than the original omicron variant, Mark McClellan, M.D., director of the Duke-Margolis Center for Health Policy, said during a media briefing, pointing to places in Europe where BA.2 has now taken over much of the continuing caseload.

For example, the BA.2 variant went from making up about 20 percent of all new coronavirus infections in Denmark tonearly halfin a matter of weeks, according to the Statens Serum Institut, a public health and research agency under the Danish Ministry of Health.

However, the CDCs Walensky said even if BA.2 is more transmissible than omicron, its not nearly the transmission advantage that weve seen between omicron and delta. Astudyout of Denmark that has yet to be peer reviewed found omicron to be between 2.7 and 3.7 times more infectious than delta, which was already declared by the CDC to be twice as contagious as previous variants.

Theres no indication that BA.2 causes more severe illness than the original omicron strain, the World Health Organizations Maria Van Kerkhove said on Feb. 1, although she added that the data on the subvariant so far is really quite limited.

While omicron has infected and sickened a record number of people,studies showthat it appears to cause less severe illness, overall, compared to its predecessor, delta. Health officials continue to stress, however, that just because omicron may be milderdoes not mean its mild, and that the variant still presents a danger to many, especially unvaccinated individuals and people at higher risk for complications from COVID-19.

Another plus: Research is ongoing, but it looks as though BA.2 doesnt have any vaccine-evading advantages, meaning it likely cant slip past the vaccines defenses any better than omicron, whose mutations already give the vaccines more of a challenge. (Thats why a booster shot has been strongly recommended during the omicron wave. The extra dose helps to strengthen immunity and further enhance protection,studies show.)

BA.2 seems to be about on the same level as the original omicron, Ozer said. Because of this, Walensky has said that when it comes to the subvariant, our vaccines will work just like it has with omicron.

Studies out of the U.K.show that protection against experiencing symptoms from a coronavirus infection caused by BA.1 was about 9 percent after two doses of the mRNA vaccines; for BA.2 it was about 13 percent. After a booster, those numbers jumped to 63 percent protection against symptomatic illness caused by BA.1 and 70 percent for BA.2. Protection against death caused by an omicron infection was 95 percent in boosted people age 50 and older, the same research shows.

One of the biggest concerns among health experts when it comes to BA.2 is the wrench it could throw into a swift exit from the omicron wave. The U.K., for example, saw a steep decline in COVID-19 cases in mid-January. That progress, however, plateaued right as cases of BA.2increased in circulation.

In some countries, like Denmark, cases have gone up associated with BA.2, but thats also in the context of relaxing mitigation measures, Walensky said.

In the U.S., Dukes McClellan said he doesnt see the subvariant really fundamentally changing the picture. What it might do is push the clock back a little more, Ozer added.

I know everybody is waiting for that day that we can take off our masks again and we can go and do all the things we were doing in 2019. And I just dont think were quite there yet, he said.

Ozers advice: Dont get complacent. And remember, we have the power to prevent some of these transmissions from happening. Vaccination is one way. The data does suggest, and fairly strongly, that vaccination and boosting has prevented more infections, Ozer said.

Maskingin public indoor settings and avoiding crowds and poorly ventilated spaces can also help thwart transmission of the virus, including the new subvariant.

One of the best ways for us to be able to stop this pandemic is just to keep the transmissions down, and that will also help prevent the emergence of new variants, Ozer said. If the virus cant transmit between people, then theres that many fewer chances for it to adapt and change and become better at what it does.

Rachel Nania writes about health care and health policy for AARP. Previously she was a reporter and editor for WTOP Radio in Washington, D.C. A recipient of a Gracie Award and a regional Edward R. Murrow Award, she also participated in a dementia fellowship with the National Press Foundation.

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Stealth Omicron: What You Need to Know About the BA.2 Subvariant - AARP