Category: Covid-19

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‘Carbon savings’ from Covid-19 lockdown halve within weeks – The Guardian

July 20, 2020

The UKs carbon emissions have begun to rebound following the easing of Covid-19 lockdown measures, causing the carbon savings triggered by the coronavirus to halve within weeks.

Greenhouse gas emissions from the energy and transport industries climbed last month as more people returned to work, raising demand for fossil fuels from record lows in April when strict lockdown measures were in place, according to new data.

An analysis by Sia Partners, seen by the Guardian, shows that the UKs carbon emissions fell by 36% in the first four weeks of the lockdown compared to the most recent official carbon emissions data collected in 2018.

But by June Britains total emissions savings had dwindled to a 16% drop as more cars returned to its roads and demand for energy began to rise.

Chlo Depigny, a senior manager at Sia Partners, said the data underlines the fragility of the UKs short-term carbon savings during the coronavirus, and the need for ambitious fundamental changes to the economy if the government hopes to meet its long-term carbon targets.

The data reveals that at the start of the lockdown Britain recorded a 90% collapse in carbon emissions from the aviation sector, a 60% fall in emissions from passenger vehicles and a 30% decline in emissions from Britains energy system.

In the last month the emissions savings from road use shrank from 60% to 30% of typical levels, and the decrease from the energy system contracted from 30% to 15%.

If lockdown measures are removed entirely by early October the total carbon savings from the coronavirus may erode to 10% below normal levels over the year as a whole, down 1 percentage point from the consulting firms previous full-year forecasts earlier this year.

In order to meet the UKs net zero target by 2050 the UK needs to cut 12 megatonnes of CO2 every year this is the equivalent of 3% of the emissions in 2018. So 10% is definitely a significant fall, she said.

However, from a climate point of view if this only occurs in 2020 and normal emissions return in 2021 then these savings will mean only a very small dent to emissions in the end. We saw this in the 2008 financial crisis; emissions very quickly returned to pre-crisis levels, she added.

One of the greatest threats to the UKs carbon savings this year is a surge in demand for road travel as more people opt to use passenger vehicles over public transport to avoid contact with the coronavirus.

This is one of the big uncertainties as we emerge from lockdown, said Depigny. If everyone is concerned about using public transport, and chooses to switch to using cars, then road emissions may well explode over the second half of the year, and could cause even a 10% emissions cut to disappear within a few months.

Another threat to carbon reductions in the wake of the coronavirus outbreak is the number of people who may continue to work from home during the winter months.

The report predicts that the carbon footprint of British homes is expected to be 6% higher than normal in 2020 based on the assumption that many people working from home will make a gradual return to office spaces from October. But a second lockdown during the colder months could mean far higher residential carbon emissions than currently forecast, Depigny said.

We have been lucky that lockdown has happened during warm summer months. If there was a second lockdown during the winter, homes would rely on gas-heating to keep their homes warm all day, which would produce far more emissions than during the summer. It would probably counter most of the savings from less commuting, she said.

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'Carbon savings' from Covid-19 lockdown halve within weeks - The Guardian

I was regarded as having a ‘mild case’ of Covid-19. I had burning lungs and exhaustion for weeks – The Guardian

July 20, 2020

I am pretty sure I have it.

I started saying this to colleagues and students around 9 March 2020. I had a strange, hot pain in my lungs. It was the shape of a horseshoe it ran down the outside and along the bottom of my lungs. I could breathe fine. I was still able to deliver a two-hour lecture, ride my bike, talk to people in meetings, walk to the supermarket; but I was a bit more tired at the end of the day. Then again, I thought to myself, I am always tired at this time of year. Winter was ending in the Netherlands, where I live, and I was almost halfway through what is the busiest time of my working year at the university.

I am a 43-year-old woman with no pre-existing health conditions. I am writing this essay because none of my Australian friends and family know anyone else who has had coronavirus. It took so long for me to get consistent medical attention because I have been regarded as a mild case while frontline medical professionals are busy managing an epidemic.

The last four months have taught me, over and over again, that we should believe the medical professionals when they tell us that they do not know or understand how this virus behaves, what impact it has on our bodies, and what we can do to treat it when we catch it. I want you to know that this virus does not just kill people it can give healthy people a chronic illness that lasts for months.

In March, the Dutch government was advising us to stop shaking hands (the Dutch shake hands with everyone), to wash our hands regularly and to cover our mouths if we coughed. I was not really coughing I would give a pathetic little single cough once or twice a day, and my chest was not feeling congested, there was no phlegm to be cleared. It just felt an electric blanket was running on the highest setting inside my chest. I had never felt anything like it.

My symptoms did not match the list on the National Institute for Public Health and Environment website but just to be on the safe side, I stopped meeting people in person, and went to the supermarket once a week. When I went, I wore latex gloves and kept my distance from other shoppers. I was not coughing or sneezing or sniffing. I could still walk to the shop and carry my shopping home then, a 20-minute walk each way. By 16 March, the Netherlands was in intelligent lockdown.

Once this happened, I was working from home. As the month progressed and the fire kept burning in my lungs, I was getting more tired. I would wake up around 7.30am after nine hours of rest feeling OK, but by 11.30 I needed to sleep.

This thing wants control of my lungs, I said to a friend over the phone in Australia as April drew near. By late March all I could do was lie in bed, nap, read and eat. I drank a lot of fresh ginger tea. The fire in my lungs kept raging, I was only breathing into the very top of my lungs, I could not take a deep breath. I was not sleeping as well I usually do, and when I was very tired (usually in the afternoon) I had developed a spectacular case of tinnitus. I would lie in my bed listening to the phasing of the high pitched frequencies in my ears with curiosity and trepidation. When a friend would call to check how I was while he was on his evening walk, I would sometimes have to ask him to repeat what he was saying three times because I could not hear his deep voice over the screaming high notes in my head. I was worried. I had not occupied physical space with another human being for three weeks. And my body was getting very weak.

I realised I was doing something I came to think of as 'Covid breathing'. Short, shallow gasps

On 28 March, after a particularly stressful night, I called my doctor and he agreed to send me to a respiratory clinic to have my lungs checked. I walked to the clinic very slowly. When the medic came to get me, she wore full PPE. She checked my temperature (normal), the oxygen saturation of my blood (also normal) and listened to my lungs. She could hear the infection there. I think it is coronavirus, she said. But I cannot test you. You can still walk, and talk. Go home and rest and call us if it gets any worse. The Dutch only started widespread testing in June, so to this day I have still not been tested for the virus.

When I spoke to my doctor the next day, he advised that one version of coronavirus seemed to be doing this giving people a long-running lung infection that could last up to six weeks. So you probably have another three weeks or so to go, he suggested.

I took sick leave from work and lay in bed with shortness of breath, burning lungs, ringing ears and total exhaustion for another three weeks. Time was a blur. People would drop off groceries every few days. I could barely stand in my open door and have a conversation with them. I was just too tired. My lungs burned and burned.

Ten days after my visit to the clinic, still with burning lungs and shallow breathing, I called the emergency doctor. I described my symptoms. He looked at the notes from my visit to the respiratory clinic.

They think I have Covid-19, I said. It was 2am. I was awake in the middle of the night. I was scared.

I am sure you do, he responded. Your symptoms are consistent with it. But you can speak in full sentences to me on the phone, so I am not too worried about you. Take some paracetamol and try to rest. Call us if you cannot walk to your toilet, or if your breathing gets worse, or if you have a fever for more than two days.

My doctors prediction was right. I had burning lungs, exhaustion and shallow breathing for a total of six weeks. By the middle of April, the burning started to subside and was replaced by a tightness in my chest and a weight on my lungs. I started coughing; after walking up the stairs in my apartment too fast, or if I talked in an animated way to a friend on WhatsApp for too long. I was so weak I could not walk around the block. Breathing was hard work. On 23 April, I was sent back to the respiratory clinic and checked again. No temperature. Oxygen saturation fine. This time, the medic could not hear evidence of an infection in my lungs when she listened to them.

So why cant I breathe? Why am I coughing? I asked her, crying with frustration.

We dont know. There may be some inflammation there. I will give you a steroid to inhale, that might help.

After the burning pain was replaced by these new symptoms I spent May and the first half of June trying to regain some strength and giving in to my total exhaustion. My lungs would get tired and ache after walking for 10 minutes, or talking for more than 20 minutes. I would fall off a cliff into total exhaustion with seemingly no warning and have to spend a day in bed. But slowly, with two steps forward and one and a half steps backward, I was able to regain enough strength that I could take a walk with a friend (at half my usual pace), and sit with them and talk. This part of my recovery seems consistent with recovery from pneumonia, but I was never diagnosed with pneumonia.

Around this time the media started reporting on long haul cases of the virus. It was reassuring to see that I was not alone. The medical profession started to consider whether people like me were actually patients that needed ongoing care.

As June progressed, my fitness continued to improve but my lungs were still aching, and my chest was still tight. Bone crushing fatigue was replaced by tiredness.

I realised I was doing something I came to think of as Covid breathing. Short, shallow gasps. After six weeks of healing, and 12 weeks since the problems started, there was little real improvement in my lung strength. I talked it over with my doctor, who suggested I see a physiotherapist who specialises in lung rehabilitation.

Two weeks ago, someone showed me how to breathe. It is a strange experience to have to relearn how to do a thing that you never had to learn in the first place. As July begins, I am almost able to breathe normally, but only when I give it my full attention. As I type these words for you I am shallow breathing.

I am writing this because we are four months into the pandemic and we are all tired and some people are wondering, because they lack direct firsthand experience of anyone with the virus, whether there is really anything to worry about. I caught the virus very early, and I cant tell you how long it takes to recover from it, because I have not recovered. I am telling you about my experience with Covid-19 so far to help you keep your strength during this period of uncertainty and restrictions.

I have a long way to go, but after four months I think it might be possible that I will make a full recovery. Medical researchers have a long way to go too. The discipline and patience they are using to understand the virus is not that dissimilar to what I have to draw on now, and what you have to draw on as you continue to face restrictions to your personal freedoms, the worry that you might lose your job, the stress you feel that your postcode might be the next one where an outbreak of the virus occurs. Perhaps it would help us to recognise that we are all long-haul cases.

Anna Poletti is a writer, researcher and teacher based in Utrecht, the Netherlands

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I was regarded as having a 'mild case' of Covid-19. I had burning lungs and exhaustion for weeks - The Guardian

COVID-19 Daily Update 7-17-2020 – 10 AM – West Virginia Department of Health and Human Resources

July 18, 2020

TheWest Virginia Department of Health and Human Resources (DHHR) reports as of 10:00 a.m., on July 17,2020, there have been 219,947 total confirmatory laboratory results receivedfor COVID-19, with 4,710 total cases and 100 deaths.

DHHR has confirmed the death of an 84-yearold male from Cabell County. We are deeply saddened by this news, a loss toboth the family and our state, said Bill J. Crouch, DHHR Cabinet Secretary.

In alignment with updated definitions fromthe Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, the dashboard includes probablecases which are individuals that have symptoms and either serologic (antibody)or epidemiologic (e.g., a link to a confirmed case) evidence of disease, but noconfirmatory test.

CASESPER COUNTY (Case confirmed by lab test/Probable case):Barbour (24/0), Berkeley (537/19), Boone(52/0), Braxton (5/0), Brooke (31/1), Cabell (205/7), Calhoun (4/0), Clay(15/0), Fayette (96/0), Gilmer (13/0), Grant (21/1), Greenbrier (74/0),Hampshire (44/0), Hancock (50/3), Hardy (48/1), Harrison (134/1), Jackson(149/0), Jefferson (261/5), Kanawha (464/12), Lewis (24/1), Lincoln (15/0),Logan (41/0), Marion (122/3), Marshall (74/1), Mason (26/0), McDowell (12/0),Mercer (67/0), Mineral (69/2), Mingo (39/2), Monongalia (643/15), Monroe(14/1), Morgan (19/1), Nicholas (19/1), Ohio (174/0), Pendleton (18/1),Pleasants (4/1), Pocahontas (37/1), Preston (88/21), Putnam (96/1), Raleigh(89/3), Randolph (194/2), Ritchie (3/0), Roane (12/0), Summers (2/0), Taylor(26/1), Tucker (7/0), Tyler (10/0), Upshur (31/2), Wayne (141/2), Webster(2/0), Wetzel (39/0), Wirt (6/0), Wood (190/11), Wyoming (7/0).

As case surveillance continues at thelocal health department level, it may reveal that those tested in a certaincounty may not be a resident of that county, or even the state as an individualin question may have crossed the state border to be tested.

Pleasenote that delays may be experienced with the reporting of information from thelocal health department to DHHR.

Please visit thedashboard at http://www.coronavirus.wv.gov for more detailed information.

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COVID-19 Daily Update 7-17-2020 - 10 AM - West Virginia Department of Health and Human Resources

COVID-19 Daily Update 7-16-2020 – 5 PM – West Virginia Department of Health and Human Resources

July 18, 2020

TheWest Virginia Department of Health and Human Resources (DHHR)reports as of 5:00 p.m., on July 16, 2020, there have been 219,052total confirmatorylaboratory results received for COVID-19, with 4,657 totalcases and 99 deaths.

In alignment with updated definitions fromthe Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, the dashboard includes probablecases which are individuals that have symptoms and either serologic (antibody)or epidemiologic (e.g., a link to a confirmed case) evidence of disease, but noconfirmatory test.

CASESPER COUNTY (Case confirmed by lab test/Probable case):Barbour (24/0), Berkeley (536/19), Boone(50/0), Braxton (5/0), Brooke (31/1), Cabell (202/7), Calhoun (4/0), Clay(14/0), Fayette (95/0), Gilmer (13/0), Grant (21/1), Greenbrier (74/0),Hampshire (44/0), Hancock (47/3), Hardy (48/1), Harrison (133/1), Jackson(148/0), Jefferson (257/5), Kanawha (463/12), Lewis (23/1), Lincoln (15/0),Logan (40/0), Marion (120/3), Marshall (74/1), Mason (26/0), McDowell (12/0),Mercer (67/0), Mineral (68/2), Mingo (39/2), Monongalia (633/15), Monroe(14/1), Morgan (19/1), Nicholas (19/1), Ohio (162/0), Pendleton (17/1),Pleasants (4/1), Pocahontas (37/1), Preston (88/21), Putnam (96/1), Raleigh(85/3), Randolph (193/2), Ritchie (3/0), Roane (12/0), Summers (2/0), Taylor(26/1), Tucker (7/0), Tyler (10/0), Upshur (31/2), Wayne (141/2), Webster(1/0), Wetzel (38/0), Wirt (6/0), Wood (191/10), Wyoming (7/0).

As case surveillance continues at thelocal health department level, it may reveal that those tested in a certaincounty may not be a resident of that county, or even the state as an individualin question may have crossed the state border to be tested.Such is the case of Logan County in this report.

Pleasenote that delays may be experienced with the reporting of information from thelocal health department to DHHR.

Please visit thedashboard at http://www.coronavirus.wv.gov for more detailed information.

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COVID-19 Daily Update 7-16-2020 - 5 PM - West Virginia Department of Health and Human Resources

Weather forecasts are less accurate because of Covid-19, a new study reveals – CNN

July 18, 2020

The study found that the "accuracy of surface meteorology forecast in March-May 2020 decreases remarkably" as flight density drops due to Covid-19.

The research examined weather forecasts from March 2020 and compared them to actual observed weather in the same time frame.

"It is the temperature forecast where accuracy went down," says Chen. Patterns of hot and cold air are critical in hurricane formation and prediction. If temperatures cannot be tracked accurately, it could be more challenging to identify hotspots early on.

The forecasts that meteorologists create for hurricanes rely in part on computer models. These models are only as good as the data that is put into them.

This data comes from a variety of tools, including aircraft, cruise ships, satellites, buoys, weather balloons, ground stations, and radar. The Covid-19 outbreak has significantly reduced the amount of data we get from two of those tools -- aircraft and cruises.

More importantly, meteorologists find themselves at a greater disadvantage, especially over water, where these observation tools are already limited. Over land, they can just launch extra weather balloons or add additional ground stations to help make up the loss of flight data.

But they can't do that over water. Buoys are unevenly distributed and are notorious for data errors. These floating devices alone can't provide a complete and accurate picture of a particular region of the ocean. Meteorologists need the combination of all available tools to accurately understand the state of the atmosphere across the globe at a given point in time.

How it affects forecasts

One way to make up for some of that data loss is having other observation tools gather additional data.

"When the National Weather Service is anticipating high impact weather events, such as a possible tornado outbreak or a potential landfalling hurricane, (it) will usually conduct 'special' weather balloon launches to take additional weather measurements in the upper levels of the atmosphere," explains Kyle Theim, a meteorologist with the NWS in Atlanta. "The accuracy and precision of our weather models are paramount, and these additional observations can then help weather models and forecasters predict how extreme weather events will unfold."

"We find that the reconnaissance soundings have significant beneficial impact." Data collected by hurricane hunter reconnaissance flights is especially effective and can help make up the loss caused by the drop in commercial flights and cruises.

This is especially important for tropical systems where temperature and wind observations are fundamental in getting a more accurate forecast.

Forecasts were better and worse in different areas

The study found that the differences vary by location. Remote areas like Greenland and Siberia saw the greatest issues with lower flight numbers.

"This is because assimilation of aircraft observations provides a much larger improvement in forecasts over regions where very limited conventional observations are available," says the study. It is already difficult to forecast for these remote regions, so the loss of flight data has a greater impact.

A similar effect hurts forecasting in the Southern Hemisphere.

"Degradation of the weather forecast is more substantially in the Northern Hemisphere than the Southern Hemisphere," says Chen. The Northern Hemisphere has more population and significantly more flights than the Southern Hemisphere. A drop in flights over the Northern Hemisphere is consequently more impactful on the ability to accurately forecast the weather.

Forecasts could get worse

The results of the study actually go against normal predictions of accuracy improvement over time.

"A similar analysis for February 2020 suggests that the forecast accuracy of surface meteorology could have been expected to improve in 2020 compared with 2017-2019, if aircraft observations were carried out as usual," the study says. This hit to accuracy comes at a time when Covid-19 is exacerbating the effects of severe weather on vulnerable populations.

The research warns that the issue of accuracy will only get worse as the Covid-19 pandemic continues.

"Further worsening of weather forecasts may be expected and that the error could become larger for longer-term forecasts," says Chen. "This could handicap early warning of extreme weather and cause additional hardship for daily life in the near future."

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Weather forecasts are less accurate because of Covid-19, a new study reveals - CNN

The Community That Covid-19 Built – The New York Times

July 18, 2020

The wagon on Jennifer Oiss front porch is a symbol of the coronaviruss silver lining. Its red and wooden, with black rubber wheels that once fell off, when Ms. Ois was towing her first child and a frozen turkey home from a store many years ago.

These days, the wagon is crowded with homemade things like fermented turmeric soda, ginger-berry kefir water, lemongrass ice cream and fresh lettuce from the garden, all waiting to be picked up by a neighbor.

Now its got a whole other purpose, says Ms. Ois. Its carrying kindness down her street.

Since visiting her neighborhood on Hiawatha Road a few weeks ago, Ive returned to it many times in my mind. I find it comforting. It reminds me that despite the viruss darkness, it has offered some illumination a slowing of time and a return to lifes essentials. The people on this street have used that time to learn old-fashioned skills like fermentation and growing vegetables, and in the process theyve become a community.

Theyve been lucky, too while some on the street have lost employment to the virus, this part of the city has been relatively unscathed by Covid-19 infections and deaths.

The street is classic east-end Toronto three long blocks of houses huddled together, as if for warmth. It was once part of a 600-acre farm owned by the Ashbridges, an English Quaker family from Pennsylvania who fled to Canada as Loyalists after the American Revolution. It remained a farm outside the city limits for more than a century, until the land was parceled and sold off for shacks for the immigrating poor and for planned subdivisions.

Walking down the street, you can see the signs of that history in the architecture old working-class bungalows wedged beside gentrified two-story brick homes. You can also see locals homesteading in ways that Sarah Ashbridge, the matriarch of the Quaker settlers, would likely recognize.

Ms. Ois is known locally as the fer-mentor. On her stove, a pot of water, grated ginger and molasses cools next to her ginger bug the makings for ginger ale. Her slow cooker is warming milk for yogurt. She pulls colorful jars out of her fermenting cupboard homemade vinegars, kombuchas and pickles.

For many years, she bugged her neighbors to try her hobby, but they were too busy, rushing from work to childrens hockey practices. When the country went into lockdown in March, she found a captive audience with long days to fill and anxiety to expend.

When this all happened, everyone else came into my world, said Ms. Ois, 43, a stay-at-home parent. Many said, I dont know what to do. Well, I know what to do. Im an expert at it.

She offered kombucha scobies, sourdough starter, and seeds for her neighbors nascent vegetable patches. She left them all in the wagon on her front porch, and texted pictures of her handwritten recipes.

Just down the street, Guillermo del Aguila had set up a hydroponics nursery in his basement for the first time, to supply the seedlings for his familys backyard greenhouse. He was better at it than he expected. He joined in the exchange, issuing his own community offerings: eggplant, sweet pepper, tomato and leek seedlings.

Jon Harris lives a few doors down. Both he and his wife had been deemed essential workers, so time had not stopped still for them. But he found making bread soothing. The baking section of grocery store shelves was bare, but he knew of a commercial mill and put out a call to the street. His first order was for 300 kilograms of flour and 25 pounds of yeast.

Theres something magical happening, said Mr. Harris, 44, an electrician.

He added, I wonder if there is something about watching the world spin around you and thinking about your mortality. We have a little more space to grab onto the things we want to be important.

The trading and pioneer hobbies have continued, even as the city has begun slowly to open up. Ms. Ois set up a swap page on Facebook, and offers went up from neighbors for homemade granola, freezer strawberry jam, lavender, eggs, espresso syrup, bitters for cocktails. Deborah MacDonald ventured to the red wagon to pick up champagne yeast to make raspberry mead, with Ms. Oiss handwritten recipe. She left fresh-baked bread.

I used to joke I didnt know anybody on the street, said Ms. MacDonald, a film producer who often clocked 11-hour days at the office. While there was a sense of community before, many of her neighbors barely knew each other before the virus stitched their friendships.

Weve all helped each other get through this crazy time, said Ms. MacDonald. In some respects its allowed us to forget a little about all the terrible.

Ms. Oiss husband hammered together a greenhouse in their backyard that she called the house Covid built. She and the del Aguila family plan to grow seedlings for their neighbors bursting gardens next spring.

Theres no going back, said Kara del Aguila, Guillermos wife, who considers the street her precious lifeline.

We dont order flowers for delivery anymore, she said. We go to our neighbors homes and knock on the front door and give them something we made.

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau apologized again this week this time for taking part in a decision to award a no-bid government contract to a charity deeply connected to his family. The countrys ethics commissioner is digging into the affair, marking the third time Mr. Trudeau has been investigated for breaking conflict-of-interest rules since coming to power in 2015.

Since a New Jersey hedge fund quietly assumed ownership of Postmedia, Canadas largest newspaper chain, the company has cut its work force, shuttered papers across Canada, reduced salaries and benefits, and centralized editorial operations in a way that has made parts of its 106 newspapers into clones of one another, my colleague Edmund Lee reports.

Catherine Porter is the Canada bureau chief, based in Toronto. Before she joined the Times in 2017, she was a columnist and feature writer for The Toronto Star, Canadas largest-circulation newspaper. Follow her on Twitter at @porterthereport

Were eager to have your thoughts about this newsletter and events in Canada in general. Please send them to nytcanada@nytimes.com.

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The Community That Covid-19 Built - The New York Times

Safe Pregnancy As COVID-19 Surges: What’s Best For Mom And Baby? – NPR

July 18, 2020

Pregnancy is a time of hope and dreams for most women and their families even during a pandemic. Still, their extra need to avoid catching the coronavirus has meant more isolation and sacrifices, too. Leo Patrizi/Getty Images hide caption

Pregnancy is a time of hope and dreams for most women and their families even during a pandemic. Still, their extra need to avoid catching the coronavirus has meant more isolation and sacrifices, too.

Carissa Helmer and her husband had been trying to get pregnant for five or six months by early April, when COVID-19 started to spike in the Washington, D.C., area where they live. Maybe, they mused, they should stop trying to conceive for a few months.

But then a pregnancy test came back positive.

"We were, like, 'Oh well I guess it's too late for that!' " Helmer says, laughing.

In some ways, she says, there are a few convenient aspects to being pregnant now starting with being able to work from home. Before the pandemic, she and her husband both commuted 90 minutes each way to their jobs in the city driving to the subway, then taking the train downtown. Because she's now working from home in her job in the subscriptions department at the Kennedy Center for the Performing Arts, Helmer is able to get more sleep and has been able to combat morning sickness with ginger ale and crackers. "On the Metro, you're not allowed to eat or drink at all," she says.

But other aspects of the pregnancy have been tougher than she expected. For one thing, she's had to go to all of her doctor's appointments by herself.

"It's completely understandable," Helmer says, "but I think that that's something ... we hadn't anticipated in a first pregnancy that my husband wouldn't be able to be in the room."

Carissa Helmer and her husband, Timothy, had been trying to get pregnant for months when COVID-19 first spiked in the Washington, D.C., area where they live. Helmer says she's found a few things convenient about being pregnant now: being able to work from home, getting more sleep, and not having to deal with morning sickness on the subway. Deborah Helmer hide caption

Then there's the delicacy required in making rules about visits from relatives.

"We've been trying to be really strict with them," Helmer says, advising extended family: " 'You know, it's really important that you're quarantining for 14 days before you come and visit us.' I think that's been a little hard to explain to some folks, just to tell them that I'm more at risk, and it's not anything against them."

Though she sounds relaxed, Helmer tells me that she's worried about getting the coronavirus.

"I'm terrified," she says. "My husband's still going to the grocery store, and that's pretty much the only place that he goes. And the only place that I go is the doctor's office."

Digging into the data about COVID-19 and pregnancy

How worried should expecting parents be about any extra risks the coronavirus might pose to the mom or developing fetus?

The answer and advice may continue to change, public health officials say, as the evidence rolls in. In June, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention published a study showing pregnant women may be more likely to develop a severe case of COVID-19 than other women their age when they become infected with the virus. And just this week, physicians in France published a case study that strongly suggests a newborn caught the coronavirus before birth from his mother via the placenta.

"Where you can, you need to decrease your exposures. But that has to be practical," says Dr. Laura Riley, an OB-GYN at New York-Presbyterian Hospital who chairs the department of obstetrics and gynecology at Weill Cornell Medicine, and has been involved in devising pandemic guidelines for practitioners and patients on behalf of the American College of Obstetricians and Gynecologists.

Because this coronavirus is relatively new to humans, the evidence about the added risks it imposes on a pregnancy is scant. The June CDC analysis was partly reassuring, suggesting that women who get COVID-19 when pregnant are at no greater risk of dying from the virus than nonpregnant women their age, though they do seem to be at somewhat greater risk of developing a severe case of the illness.

The study reviewed more than 91,000 U.S. women of reproductive age who had a lab-confirmed coronavirus infection; of those, roughly 8,200 were pregnant at the time. Compared with other women of reproductive age who tested positive for the virus, pregnant women more often went into the intensive care unit and were more likely to need mechanical ventilation.

The data also showed that pregnant women who are Hispanic or Black may be at higher risk of infection than white pregnant women. (Black and Hispanic people in the U.S. have been found to be at greater risk of contracting the coronavirus and at higher risk of death from COVID-19.)

But there were limits to the CDC study that are worth noting, Riley says limits that may have made the added COVID-19 risk to pregnant women look bigger than it is.

First, pregnancy status was only known for 28% of the women of reproductive age who tested positive in the study. That means some infected women who went on to deliver perfectly healthy babies were likely not counted. And for those whose pregnancy status was known, data on race and ethnicity, symptoms, underlying conditions and outcomes were missing for a large proportion of cases. That, too, may have skewed their findings, the researchers who did the analysis say.

Then there's the matter of hospitalization rates for pregnant women. Many hospitals have implemented universal coronavirus screening for anyone admitted to a hospital's labor and delivery unit. What the evidence analyzed by the CDC doesn't reveal, Riley points out, is whether a pregnant woman was being hospitalized because of symptoms of COVID-19, or because she was going into labor.

"You can't tell from this data who came in because they were sick with COVID, and who came in because they were just going to deliver and were oh, by the way, COVID-positive," Riley says.

Plus, she says, it's hard to tell from the CDC data whether a pregnant woman was admitted to the ICU because her case of COVID-19 was severe, or because that particular hospital was only equipped to handle a pregnancy involving COVID-19 in an ICU.

There was one finding in the CDC data that does stand out to Riley as potentially worrisome: "It seemed pregnant women were more likely to need the mechanical ventilation, which suggests more severe disease."

Still, even there, she says, the number of coronavirus-positive pregnant women in the study who were sick enough to need a ventilator was quite small: 42 women out of 8,207 that's half of 1%.

Riley says her own OB-GYN practice includes many high-risk pregnancies including some older women, some who are pregnant with twins or triplets, and some who have underlying health conditions such as chronic hypertension or diabetes. So does this new data change what she tells her patients about pregnancy in the age of COVID-19?

Not really, she says.

"What it underscores, and what I tell my patients," Riley says, "is you just need to remain diligent in terms of all those things that we know work [to prevent infection with the virus]. We know social distancing works. We know that wearing a mask works. We know that washing your hands frequently works." Guidelines from the American College of Obstetricians and Gynecologists also advise "limiting contact with other individuals as much as practicable" and urge patients to "maintain an adequate supply of preparedness resources including medications."

Where it can get harder for her patients, she says, is that, to keep the mother-to-be protected, partners and other members of the household need to take those same precautions. "That may not be so easy," Riley says, "but it's absolutely critical."

If pregnant women do have symptoms of COVID-19 or have been exposed to the coronavirus, they need to let their doctors know so they can be tested and receive appropriate care, Riley advises.

''Am I just going to be housebound the whole of pregnancy?''

Taking every precaution can mean staying close to home.

Kate Bernard lives in Austin, Texas, where she works at a music nonprofit and sings with her band KP and the Boom Boom. Originally from Yorkshire, England, she met her husband 10 years ago on a trip to Austin, and they married 2 1/2 months later.

Kate Bernard met her husband, David, a decade ago on a trip to Austin, Texas, and became pregnant in March. These days, she says, she's grateful to be able to do her work for a music nonprofit from home. Kate Bernard hide caption

Their world changed suddenly in mid-March: "The coronavirus lockdowns were just being announced that week that we got pregnant," she says.

The pandemic led to canceling the gigs the band had scheduled, and Bernard says she's not sure how she would have fared if she'd had to perform, considering her pregnancy-induced nausea and the Texas heat. These days, Bernard says, just 20 minutes outside in the heat makes her queasy, "and some of those gigs were outdoor gigs where you're playing for an hour, two hours."

To try to steer clear of the coronavirus, she's doing her nonprofit job from home. Bernard says she's grateful that's an option she has been able to work in bed whenever the sciatic pain in her back flares.

"I just can't imagine having to get dressed and get myself together" to go to the office, she says she figures she would have felt compelled to keep her pregnancy under wraps at work until the end of the first trimester.

Not that concealing it would have been easy in her small, open-plan office. "We've just got one bathroom, and they'd have heard the puking," she says, laughing. "They'd have known."

Bernard says her life has been a roller coaster since March, and the current surge of coronavirus cases in Texas only adds to her concern.

"We don't know when this is going to end, and it doesn't give you hope when the numbers are going up in the state that you live in," she says. "Am I just going to be housebound the whole of the pregnancy?"

Before the new CDC data came out last month, Bernard had been encouraging her husband to go places such as a downtown park or swimming at Austin's aquifer-fed Barton Springs Pool. And she had been hoping to swim in the pool at their apartment complex and engage in other activities that bring her joy. But now she feels like they'll both need to be more cautious, and the pools have closed in light of the pandemic. In addition to being pregnant, Bernard has asthma another risk factor that can make COVID-19 more severe.

"I like to make my own mind up about things," she says, adding that she and her husband both "try and think outside the box and live our life alternatively. But I just think it's just better to be safe than sorry at the moment."

Undeterred by COVID-19

So, do pregnant women really need to be housebound for nine months? Riley, the New York OB-GYN, says that would not be realistic.

For one thing, they need prenatal care. "Yes, we can do some prenatal care by telehealth, but we can't do it all that way. We can't assess your baby with you at home."

Plus, there are many other reasons to get out and move your body, she says: "Your mental well-being is not to be ignored." The need for fresh air or to take a walk are part of staying healthy, and going to work may be necessary financially, Riley says.

Dr. Carroll Medeiros is a professor at Brown University's Alpert Medical School and an OB-GYN at Southern New England Women's Health. She says many of her patients in Providence, R.I., don't have the luxury of working from home during the pandemic. Many are also Hispanic or African American.

Classified as essential workers, a number of her patients are still going in to do their jobs often at hospitals or nursing homes, she says or they live with an essential worker, and that, too, increases their risk of exposure to the virus.

Some of Medeiros' patients work in a factory where roughly 70 employees became infected with COVID-19.

"These people are mostly Black and brown," Medeiros says, "and it just shows the inequality. You have less of a chance of having a really good job in this country if you are Black and brown."

Many of her pregnant patients are worried about catching the virus, Medeiros says, but "it's hard for them to take off time when they feel like they are most at risk. You take off time you might lose your job."

Despite all the anxieties and the unknowns, Medeiros says she hasn't seen indications in her practice that people are avoiding pregnancy out of fear of the pandemic.

"They are very few and far between people who have told me, 'Oh, you know, we've changed our mind. We're not going to do it right now,' " Medeiros says. "People have come to have their intrauterine devices removed and to start trying. I don't think it's deterred anybody. But they have a lot of concerns about it."

''That hopefulness of having a child''

In Austin, Bernard anticipates that when her baby is due in December, the U.S. will still be grappling with the risks and effects of COVID-19.

And the current unrest over racial injustice and policing has added extra stress, Bernard says.

"I've just got to have hope for the new life," she says, "that bringing a baby in, we're going to teach it right from wrong. I think that's what I'll be holding on to that hopefulness of having a child. And rather than it being doom and gloom in the current times, having hope that the next generations will do a better job."

Read the rest here:

Safe Pregnancy As COVID-19 Surges: What's Best For Mom And Baby? - NPR

COVID-19 Daily Update 7-15-2020 – 10 AM – West Virginia Department of Health and Human Resources

July 18, 2020

TheWest Virginia Department of Health and Human Resources (DHHR)reports as of 10:00 a.m., on July 15, 2020, there have been 215,450total confirmatorylaboratory results received for COVID-19, with 4,463 totalcases and 97 deaths.

In alignment with updated definitions fromthe Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, the dashboard includes probablecases which are individuals that have symptoms and either serologic (antibody)or epidemiologic (e.g., a link to a confirmed case) evidence of disease, but noconfirmatory test.

CASESPER COUNTY (Case confirmed by lab test/Probable case):Barbour(23/0), Berkeley (530/19), Boone (42/0), Braxton (5/0), Brooke (31/1), Cabell(196/7), Calhoun (4/0), Clay (13/0), Fayette (86/0), Gilmer (13/0), Grant(20/1), Greenbrier (74/0), Hampshire (45/0), Hancock (43/3), Hardy (47/1),Harrison (128/0), Jackson (148/0), Jefferson (254/5), Kanawha (430/12), Lewis(22/1), Lincoln (10/0), Logan (40/0), Marion (113/3), Marshall (69/1), Mason(26/0), McDowell (12/0), Mercer (63/0), Mineral (68/2), Mingo (29/2),Monongalia (604/14), Monroe (14/1), Morgan (19/1), Nicholas (19/1), Ohio(151/0), Pendleton (16/1), Pleasants (4/1), Pocahontas (37/1), Preston (84/21),Putnam (91/1), Raleigh (81/3), Randolph (191/2), Ritchie (2/0), Roane (12/0),Summers (2/0), Taylor (22/1), Tucker (7/0), Tyler (10/0), Upshur (31/2), Wayne(128/1), Webster (1/0), Wetzel (37/0), Wirt (6/0), Wood (185/9), Wyoming (7/0).

As case surveillance continues at thelocal health department level, it may reveal that those tested in a certaincounty may not be a resident of that county, or even the state as an individualin question may have crossed the state border to be tested.

Pleasenote that delays may be experienced with the reporting of information from thelocal health department to DHHR.

Please visit thedashboard at http://www.coronavirus.wv.gov for more detailed information.

Continued here:

COVID-19 Daily Update 7-15-2020 - 10 AM - West Virginia Department of Health and Human Resources

Survey: Assessing the impact of COVID-19 on refugees and migrants – World Health Organization

July 18, 2020

About the ApartTogether study

ApartTogether is a global study to assess the public health social impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on refugees and migrants. It is a collaboration between World Health Organization, across its regional offices, the UN System, and a consortium of research centres led by Ghent University(Belgium) and University of Copenhagen (Denmark). The study aims to better understand how refugees and migrants experience the psychosocial impact of COVID-19 and how they deal with any challenges that have arisen. In collaboration with key UN partners, the insights from this survey will be used to inform policy and decision-makers on how they can better support refugees and migrants during and after this pandemic.

The survey runs until 31 August 2020.

More:

Survey: Assessing the impact of COVID-19 on refugees and migrants - World Health Organization

Inslee announces steps to address COVID-19 spread – Access Washington

July 18, 2020

Story

As cases of COVID-19 continue to increase across the state, Gov. Jay Inslee and Sec. of Health John Wiesman today announced a new limit on social gatherings and a ban on live entertainment across the state.

The steps are necessary to slow down the spread of COVID-19. The unfortunate truth is that we cant let our guard down, even as we engage in more activities, Inslee said during a press conference Thursday. As we inch closer to the fall, we are already on an unsustainable path in the spread of this virus. We have to change to save lives and to avoid turning the dial back further on the activities we enjoy.

Under the new Safe Start phase limits, the number of individuals allowed in social gatherings during Phase 3 will be reduced from 50 people to 10 people. Counties in Phase 2 may continue to have social gatherings of up to five people.

Additionally, the governor and secretary announced a prohibition on all live entertainment, indoor or outdoor, statewide. This includes drive-in concerts, comedy clubs and music in restaurants.

The orders go into effect Monday, July 20.

Read the rest of the story on the governor'sMedium page.

Public and constituent inquiries | 360.902.4111Press inquiries | 360.902.4136

See the original post:

Inslee announces steps to address COVID-19 spread - Access Washington

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