COVID-19 cases rise at Miami while remaining low at the University of Cincinnati WKRC TV Cincinnati
Continue reading here:
Research
The worlds preeminent scientists say a theory from the Broad Institutes Alina Chan is too wild to be believed. But when the theory is about the possibility of COVID being man-made, is this science or censorship?
Illustration by Benjamen Purvis
In January, as she watched the news about a novel virus spreading out of control in China, Alina Chan braced for a shutdown. The molecular biologist at the Broad Institute of Harvard and MIT started stockpiling medicine and supplies. By the time March rolled around and a quarantine seemed imminent, shed bought hundreds of dollars worth of fillets from her favorite fishmonger in Cambridge and packed them into her freezer. Then she began to ramp down her projects in the lab, isolating her experimental cells from their cultures and freezing them in small tubes.
As prepared as she was for the shutdown, though, she found herself unprepared for the frustration of being frozen out of work. She paced the walls of her tiny apartment feeling bored and useless. Chan has been a puzzle demon since childhood, which was precisely what she loved about her workthe chance to solve fiendishly difficult problems about how viruses operate and how, through gene therapy, they could be repurposed to help cure devastating genetic diseases. Staring out her window at the eerily quiet streets of her Inman Square neighborhood, she groaned at the thought that it could be months before she was at it again. Her mind wandered back to 2003, when she was a teenager growing up in Singapore and the first SARS virus, a close relative of this coronavirus, appeared in Asia. It hadnt been anything like this. That one had been relatively easy to corral. How had this virus come out of nowhere and shut down the planet? Why was it so different? she asked herself.
Then it hit her: The worlds greatest puzzle was staring her in the face. Stuck at home, all she had to work with was her brain and her laptop. Maybe they were enough. Chan fired up the kettle for the first of what would become hundreds of cups of tea, stacked four boxes on her kitchen counter to raise her laptop to the proper height, pulled back her long dark hair, and began reading all of the scientific literature she could find on the coronavirus.
It wasnt long before she came across an article about the remarkable stability of the virus, whose genome had barely changed from the earliest human cases, despite trillions of replications. This perplexed Chan. Like many emerging infectious diseases, COVID-19 was thought to be zoonoticit originated in animals, then somehow found its way into people. At the time, the Chinese government and most scientists insisted the jump had happened at Wuhans seafood market, but that didnt make sense to Chan. If the virus had leapt from animals to humans in the market, it should have immediately started evolving to life inside its new human hosts. But it hadnt.
On a hunch, she decided to look at the literature on the 2003 SARS virus, which had jumped from civets to people. Bingo. A few papers mentioned its rapid evolution in its first months of existence. Chan felt the familiar surge of puzzle endorphins. The new virus really wasnt behaving like it should. Chan knew that delving further into this puzzle would require some deep genetic analysis, and she knew just the person for the task. She opened Google Chat and fired off a message to Shing Hei Zhan. He was an old friend from her days at the University of British Columbia and, more important, he was a computational god.
Do you want to partner on a very unusual paper? she wrote.
Sure, he replied.
One thing Chan noticed about the original SARS was that the virus in the first human cases was subtly differenta few dozen letters of genetic codefrom the one in the civets. That meant it had immediately morphed. She asked Zhan to pull up the genomes for the coronaviruses that had been found on surfaces in the Wuhan seafood market. Were they at all different from the earliest documented cases in humans?
Zhan ran the analysis. Nope, they were 100 percent the same. Definitely from humans, not animals. The seafood-market theory, which Chinese health officials and the World Health Organization espoused in the early days of the pandemic, was wrong. Chans puzzle detectors pulsed again. Shing, she messaged Zhan, this paper is going to be insane.
In the coming weeks, as the spring sun chased shadows across her kitchen floor, Chan stood at her counter and pounded out her paper, barely pausing to eat or sleep. It was clear that the first SARS evolved rapidly during its first three months of existence, constantly fine-tuning its ability to infect humans, and settling down only during the later stages of the epidemic. In contrast, the new virus looked a lot more like late-stage SARS. Its almost as if were missing the early phase, Chan marveled to Zhan. Or, as she put it in their paper, as if it was already well adapted for human transmission.
That was a profoundly provocative line. Chan was implying that the virus was already familiar with human physiology when it had its coming-out party in Wuhan in late 2019. If so, there were three possible explanations.
Perhaps it was just staggeringly bad luck: The mutations had all occurred in an earlier host species, and just happened to be the perfect genetic arrangement for an invasion of humanity. But that made no sense. Those mutations would have been disadvantageous in the old host.
Maybe the virus had been circulating undetected in humans for months, working out the kinks, and nobody had noticed. Also unlikely. Chinas health officials would not have missed it, and even if they had, theyd be able to go back now through stored samples to find the trail of earlier versions. And they werent coming up with anything.
That left a third possibility: The missing phase had happened in a lab, where the virus had been trained on human cells. Chan knew this was the third rail of potential explanations. At the time, conspiracy theorists were spinning bioweapon fantasies, and Chan was loath to give them any ammunition. But she also didnt want to play politics by withholding her findings. Chan is in her early thirties, still at the start of her career, and an absolute idealist about the purity of the scientific process. Facts were facts.
Or at least they used to be. Since the start of the pandemic, the Trump administration has been criticized for playing fast and loose with factsdenying, exaggerating, or spinning them to suit the presidents political needs. As a result, many scientists have learned to censor themselves for fear that their words will be misrepresented. Still, Chan thought, if she were to sit on scientific research just to avoid providing ammunition to conspiracy theorists or Trump, would she be any better than them?
Chan knew she had to move forward and make her findings public. In the final draft of her paper, she torpedoed the seafood-market theory, then laid out a case that the virus seemed curiously well adapted to humans. She mentioned all three possible explanations, carefully wording the third to emphasize that if the novel coronavirus did come from a lab, it would have been the result of an accident in the course of legitimate research.
On May 2, Chan uploaded the paper to a site where as-yet-unpublished biology papers known as preprints are shared for open peer review. She tweeted out the news and waited. On May 16, the Daily Mail, a British tabloid, picked up her research. The very next day, Newsweek ran a story with the headline Scientists Shouldnt Rule Out Lab as Source of Coronavirus, New Study Says.
And that, Chan says, is when shit exploded everywhere.
Alina Chan, a molecular biologist at the Broad Institute, says we cant rule out the possibility that the novel coronavirus originated in a labeven though she knows its a politically radioactive thing to say. / Photo by Mona Miri
Chan had come to my attention a week before the Newsweek story was published through her smart and straightforward tweets, which I found refreshing at a time when most scientists were avoiding any serious discussion about the possibility that COVID-19 had escaped from a biolab. Id written a lot about genetic engineering and so-called gain-of-function researchthe fascinating, if scary, line of science in which scientists alter viruses to make them more transmissible or lethal as a way of assessing how close those viruses are to causing pandemics. I also knew that deadly pathogens escape from biolabs with surprising frequency. Most of these accidents end up being harmless, but many researchers have been infected, and people have died as a result.
For years, concerned scientists have warned that this type of pathogen research was going to trigger a pandemic. Foremost among them was Harvard epidemiologist Marc Lipsitch, who founded the Cambridge Working Group in 2014 to lobby against these experiments. In a series of policy papers, op-eds, and scientific forums, he pointed out that accidents involving deadly pathogens occurred more than twice a week in U.S. labs, and estimated that just 10 labs performing gain-of-function research over a 10-year period would run a nearly 20 percent risk of an accidental release. In 2018, he argued that such a release could lead to global spread of a virulent virus, a biosafety incident on a scale never before seen.
Thanks in part to the Cambridge Working Group, the federal government briefly instituted a moratorium on such research. By 2017, however, the ban was lifted and U.S. labs were at it again. Today, in the United States and across the globe, there are dozens of labs conducting experiments on a daily basis with the deadliest known pathogens. One of them is the Wuhan Institute of Virology. For more than a decade, its scientists have been discovering coronaviruses in bats in southern China and bringing them back to their lab in Wuhan. There, they mix genes from different strains of these novel viruses to test their infectivity in human cells and lab animals.
When word spread in January that a novel coronavirus had caused an outbreak in Wuhanwhich is a thousand miles from where the bats that carry this lineage of viruses are naturally foundmany experts were quietly alarmed. There was no proof that the lab was the source of the virus, but the pieces fit.
Despite the evidence, the scientific community quickly dismissed the idea. Peter Daszak, president of EcoHealth Alliance, which has funded the work of the Wuhan Institute of Virology and other labs searching for new viruses, called the notion preposterous, and many other experts echoed that sentiment.
That wasnt necessarily what every scientist thought in private, though. They cant speak directly, one scientist told me confidentially, referring to the virology communitys fear of having their comments sensationalized in todays politically charged environment. Many virologists dont want to be hated by everyone in the field.
There are other potential reasons for the pushback. Theres long been a sense that if the public and politicians really knew about the dangerous pathogen research being conducted in many laboratories, theyd be outraged. Denying the possibility of a catastrophic incident like this, then, could be seen as a form of career preservation. For the substantial subset of virologists who perform gain-of-function research, Richard Ebright, a Rutgers microbiologist and another founding member of the Cambridge Working Group, told me, avoiding restrictions on research funding, avoiding implementation of appropriate biosafety standards, and avoiding implementation of appropriate research oversight are powerful motivators. Antonio Regalado, biomedicine editor of MIT Technology Review, put it more bluntly. If it turned out COVID-19 came from a lab, he tweeted, it would shatter the scientific edifice top to bottom.
Thats a pretty good incentive to simply dismiss the whole hypothesis, but it quickly amounted to a global gaslighting of the mediaand, by proxy, the public. An unhealthy absolutism set in: Either you insisted that any questions about lab involvement were absurd, or you were a tool of the Trump administration and its desperation to blame China for the virus. I was used to social media pundits ignoring inconvenient or politically toxic facts, but Id never expected to see that from some of our best scientists.
Which is why Chan stood out on Twitter, daring to speak truth to power. It is very difficult to do research when one hypothesis has been negatively cast as a conspiracy theory, she wrote. Then she offered some earnest advice to researchers, suggesting that most viral research should be done with neutered viruses that have had their replicating machinery removed in advance, so that even if they escaped confinement, they would be incapable of making copies of themselves. When these precautions are not followed, risk of lab escape is exponentially higher, she explained, adding, I hope the pandemic motivates local ethics and biosafety committees to think carefully about how they can reduce risk. She elaborated on this in another tweet several days later: Id alsopersonallyprefer if high biosafety level labs were not located in the most populous cities on earth.
How Safe Are Bostons Biolabs?
As one of the world centers of biotech, the Hub is peppered with academic and corporate labs doing research on pathogens. Foremost among them is Boston Universitys National Emerging Infectious Diseases Laboratories (NEIDL), the only lab in the city designated as BSL-4 (the highest level of biosafety and the same level as the Wuhan Institute of Virology). It is one of just a dozen or so in the United States equipped to work with live versions of the worlds most dangerous viruses, including Ebola and Marburg. Researchers there began doing so in 2018 after a decade of controversy: Many locals objected to the risks of siting such a facility in the center of a major metropolitan area.
The good news? Before opening, NEIDL undertook one of the most thorough risk assessments in history, learning from the mistakes of other facilities. Even Lynn Klotz, a senior science fellow at the Washington, DCbased Center for Arms Control and Non-Proliferation, who advised local groups that opposed NEIDL, told the medical website Contagion that the lab likely has the best possible security protocols and measures in place.
But the reality, Klotz added, is that most lab accidents are caused by human error, and there is only so much that can be done through good design and protocols to proactively prevent such mistakes. (Or to guard against an intentional release by a disgruntled researcher, as allegedly happened in the anthrax attacks of 2001.) Rutgers molecular biologist Richard Ebright, a longtime critic of potentially dangerous pathogen research, says the risks introduced by NEIDL are not low enough and definitely not worth the negligible benefits.
Still, risk is relative. Klotz has estimated the chance of a pathogen escape from a BSL-4 lab at 0.3 percent per year, and NEIDL is probably significantly safer than the typical BSL-4 lab. And if catching a deadly pathogen is your fear, well, currently you run a good risk of finding one in your own neighborhood. Until that gets cleared up, the citys biolabs are probably among the safer spaces in town.
Chan had started using her Twitter account this intensely only a few days earlier, as a form of outreach for her paper. The social platform has become the way many scientists find out about one anothers work, and studies have shown that attention on Twitter translates to increased citations for a paper in scientific literature. But its a famously raw forum. Many scientists are not prepared for the digital storms that roil the Twitterverse, and they dont handle it well. Chan dreaded it at first, but quickly took to Twitter like a digital native. Having Twitter elevates your work, she says. And I think its really fun to talk to nonscientists about that work.
After reading her tweets, I reviewed her preprint, which I found mind-blowing, and wrote her to say so. She thanked me and joked that she worried it might be career suicide.
It wasnt long before it began to look like she might be right.
Speaking her mind, it turns outeven in the face of censurewas nothing new for Chan, who is Canadian but was raised in Singapore, one of the more repressive regimes on earth. Her parents, both computer science professionals, encouraged free thinking and earnest inquiry in their daughter, but the local school system did not. Instead, it was a pressure-cooker of a system that rewarded students for falling in line, and moved quickly to silence rebels.
That was a bad fit for Chan. You have to bow to teachers, she says. Sometimes teachers from other classes would show up and ask me to bow to them. And I would say, No, youre not my teacher. Back then they believed in corporal punishment. A teacher could just take a big stick and beat you in front of the class. I got whacked so many times.
Still, Chan rebelled in small ways, skipping school and hanging out at the arcade. She also lost interest in her studies. I just really didnt like school. And I didnt like all the extracurriculars they pack you with in Singapore, she says. That changed when a teacher recruited her for math Olympiads, in which teams of students compete to solve devilishly hard arithmetic puzzles. I really loved it, she says. You just sit in a room and think about problems.
Chan might well have pursued a career in math, but then she came up against teams from China in Olympiad competitions. They would just wipe everyone else off the board, she says. They were machines. Theyd been trained in math since they could walk. Theyd hit the buzzer before you could even comprehend the question. I thought, Im not going to survive in this field.
Chan decided to pursue biology instead, studying at the University of British Columbia. I liked viruses from the time I was a teen, she says. I remember the first time I learned about HIV. I thought it was a puzzle and a challenge. That instinct took her to Harvard Medical School as a postdoc, where the puzzle became how to build virus-like biomolecules to accomplish tasks inside cells, and then to Ben Devermans lab at the Broad Institute. When I see an interesting question, I want to spend 100 percent of my time working on it, she says. I get really fixated on answering scientific questions.
Deverman, for his part, says he wasnt actively looking to expand his team when Chan came along, but when opportunities to hire extraordinary people fall in my lap, he takes them. Alina brings a ton of value to the lab, he explains, adding that she has an ability to pivot between different topics and cut to the chase. Nowhere was that more on display than with her coronavirus work, which Deverman was able to closely observe. In fact, Chan ran so many ideas past him that he eventually became a coauthor. She is insightful, determined, and has the rare ability to explain complex scientific findings to other scientists and to the public, he says.
Those skills would prove highly useful when word got out about her coronavirus paper.
If Chan had spent a lifetime learning how to pursue scientific questions, she spent most of the shutdown learning what happens when the answers you come up with are politically radioactive. After the Newsweek story ran, conservative-leaning publications seized on her paper as conclusive evidence that the virus had come from a lab. Everyone focused on the one line, Chan laments. The tabloids just zoomed in on it. Meanwhile, conspiracists took it as hard evidence of their wild theories that there had been an intentional leak.
Chan spent several exhausting days putting out online fires with the many people who had misconstrued her findings. I was so naive, she tells me with a quick, self-deprecating laugh. I just thought, Shouldnt the world be thinking about this fairly? I really have to kick myself now.
Even more troubling, though, were the reactions from other scientists. As soon as her paper got picked up by the media, luminaries in the field sought to censure her. Jonathan Eisen, a well-known professor at UC Davis, criticized the study in Newsweek and on his influential Twitter account, writing, Personally, I do not find the analysis in this new paper remotely convincing. In a long thread, he argued that comparing the new virus to SARS was not enough to show that it was preadapted to humans. He wanted to see comparisons to the initial leap of other viruses from animals to humans.
Moments later, Daszak piled on. The NIH had recently cut its grant to his organization, EcoHealth Alliance, after the Trump administration learned that some of it had gone to fund the Wuhan Institute of Virologys work. Daszak was working hard to get it restored and trying to stamp out any suggestion of a lab connection. He didnt hold back on Chan. This is sloppy research, he tweeted, calling it a poorly designed phylogenetic study with too many inferences and not enough data, riding on a wave of conspiracy to drive a higher impact. Peppering his tweets with exclamation points, he attacked the wording of the paper, arguing that one experiment it cited was impossible, and told Chan she didnt understand her own data. Afterward, a Daszak supporter followed up his thread with a GIF of a mike drop.
It was an old and familiar dynamic: threatened silverback male attempts to bully a junior female member of the tribe. As a postdoc, Chan was in a vulnerable position. The world of science is still a bit medieval in its power structure, with a handful of institutions and individuals deciding who gets published, who gets positions, who gets grants. Theres little room for rebels.
What happened next was neither old nor familiar: Chan didnt back down. Sorry to disrupt mike drop, she tweeted, providing a link to a paper in the prestigious journal Nature that does that exact experiment you thought was impossible. Politely but firmly, she justified each point Daszak had attacked, showing him his mistakes. In the end, Daszak was reduced to arguing that she had used the word isolate incorrectly. In a coup de grce, Chan pointed out that actually the word had come from online data provided by GenBank, the NIHs genetic sequence database. She offered to change it to whatever made sense. At that point, Daszak stopped replying. He insists, however, that Chan is overinterpreting her findings.
With Eisen, Chan readily agreed to test her hypothesis by finding other examples of viruses infecting new hosts. Within days, a perfect opportunity came along when news broke that the coronavirus had jumped from humans to minks at European fur farms. Sure enough, the mink version began to rapidly mutate. You actually see the rapid evolution happening, Chan said. Just in the first few weeks, the changes are quite drastic.
Chan also pointed out to Eisen that the whole goal of a website such as bioRxiv (pronounced bioarchive)where she posted the paperis to elicit feedback that will make papers better before publication. Good point, he replied. Eventually he conceded that there was a lot of interesting analysis in the paper and agreed to work with Chan on the next draft.
The Twitter duels with her powerful colleagues didnt rattle Chan. I thought Jonathan was very reasonable, she says. I really appreciated his expertise, even if he disagreed with me. I like that kind of feedback. It helped to make our paper better.
With Daszak, Chan is more circumspect. Some people have trouble keeping their emotions in check, she says. Whenever I saw his comments, Id just think, Is there something I can learn here? Is there something hes right about that I should be fixing? Ultimately, she decided, there was not.
By late May, both journalists and armchair detectives interested in the mystery of the coronavirus were discovering Chan as a kind of Holmes to our Watson. She crunched information at twice our speed, zeroing in on small details wed overlooked, and became a go-to for anyone looking for spin-free explications of the latest science on COVID-19. It was thrilling to see her reasoning in real time, a reminder of why Ive always loved science, with its pursuit of patterns that sometimes leads to exciting revelations. The website CNET featured her in a story about a league of scientists-turned-detectives who were using genetic sequencing technologies to uncover COVID-19s origins. After it came out, Chan added scientist-turned-detective to her Twitter bio.
Shes lived up to her new nom de tweet. As the search for the source of the virus continued, several scientific teams published papers identifying a closely related coronavirus in pangolinsanteater-like animals that are heavily trafficked in Asia for their meat and scales. The number of different studies made it seem as though this virus was ubiquitous in pangolins. Many scientists eagerly embraced the notion that the animals might have been the intermediate hosts that had passed the novel coronavirus to humans. It fit their preexisting theories about wet markets, and it would have meant no lab had been involved.
As Chan read the pangolin papers, she grew suspicious. The first one was by a team that had analyzed a group of the animals intercepted by anti-smuggling authorities in southern China. They found the closely related virus in a few of them, and published the genomes for that virus. Some of the other papers, though, were strangely ambiguous about where their data was coming from, or how their genomes had been constructed. Had they really taken samples from actual pangolins?
Once again, Chan messaged Shing Hei Zhan. Shing, somethings weird here, she wrote. Zhan pulled up the raw data from the papers and compared the genomes they had published. Individual copies of a virus coming from different animals should have small differences, just as individuals of a species have genetic differences. Yet the genomes in all of the pangolin papers were perfect matchesthe authors were all simply using the first groups data set. Far from being ubiquitous, the virus had been found only in a few pangolins who were held together, and it was unclear where they had caught it. The animals might have even caught it from their own smuggler.
Remarkably, one group of authors in Nature even appeared to use the same genetic sequences from the other paper as if it were confirmation of their own discovery. These sequences appear to be from the same virus (Pangolin-CoV) that we identified in the present study.
Chan called them out on Twitter: Of course its the same Pangolin-CoV, you used the same dataset! For context, she later added, Imagine if clinical trials were playing fast and loose with their patient data; renaming patients, throwing them into different datasets without clarification, possibly even describing the same patient multiple times across different studies unintentionally.
She and Zhan posted a new preprint on bioRxiv dismantling the pangolin papers. Confirmation came in June when the results of a study of hundreds of pangolins in the wildlife trade were announced: Not a single pangolin had any sign of a coronavirus. Chan took a victory lap on Twitter: Supports our hypothesis all this time. The pangolin theory collapsed.
Chan then turned her Holmesian powers on bigger game: Daszak and the Wuhan Institute of Virology. Daszak had been pleading his case everywhere from 60 Minutes to the New York Times and has been successful in rallying sympathy to his cause, even getting 77 Nobel laureates to sign a letter calling for the NIH to restore EcoHealth Alliances funding.
In several long and detailed tweetorials, Chan began to cast a cloud of suspicion on the WIVs work. She pointed out that scientists there had discovered a virus that is more than 96 percent identical to the COVID-19 coronavirus in 2013 in a mineshaft soon after three miners working there had died from a COVID-like illness. The WIV didnt share these findings until 2020, even though the goal of such work, Chan pointed out, was supposedly to identify viruses with the potential to cause human illnesses and warn the world about them.
Even though that virus had killed three miners, Daszak said it wasnt considered a priority to study at the time. We were looking for SARS-related virus, and this one was 20 percent different. We thought it was interesting, but not high risk. So we didnt do anything about it and put it in the freezer, he told a reporter from Wired. It was only in 2020, he maintained, that they started looking into it once they realized its similarity to COVID-19. But Chan pointed to an online database showing that the WIV had been genetically sequencing the mine virus in 2017 and 2018, analyzing it in a way they had done in the past with other viruses in preparation for running experiments with them. Diplomatic yet deadpan, she wrote, I think Daszak was misinformed.
For good measure, almost in passing, Chan pointed out a detail no one else had noticed: COVID-19 contains an uncommon genetic sequence that has been used by genetic engineers in the past to insert genes into coronaviruses without leaving a trace, and it falls at the exact point that would allow experimenters to swap out different genetic parts to change the infectivity. That same sequence can occur naturally in a coronavirus, so this was not irrefutable proof of an unnatural origin, Chan explained, only an observation. Still, it was enough for one Twitter user to muse, If capital punishment were as painful as what Alina Chan is doing to Daszak/WIV regarding their story, it would be illegal.
Daszak says that indeed he had been misinformed and was unaware that that virus found in the mine shaft had been sequenced before 2020. He also says that a great lab, with great scientists, is now being picked apart to search for suspicious behavior to support a preconceived theory. If you believe, deep down, something fishy went on, then what you do is you go through all the evidence and you try to look for things that support that belief, he says, adding, That is not how you find the truth.
Many of the points in Chans tweetorials had also been made by others, but she was the first reputable scientist to put it all together. That same week, Londons Sunday Times and the BBC ran stories following the same trail of breadcrumbs that Chan had laid out to suggest that there had been a coverup at the WIV. The story soon circulated around the world. In the meantime, the WIV has steadfastly denied any viral leak. Lab director Yanyi Wang went on Chinese television and described such charges as pure fabrication, and went on to explain that the bat coronavirus from 2013 was so different than COVID that it could not have evolved into it this quickly and that the lab only sequenced it and didnt obtain a live virus from it.
To this day, there is no definitive evidence as to whether the virus occurred naturally or had its origins in a lab, but the hypothesis that the Wuhan facility was the source is increasingly mainstream and the science behind it can no longer be ignored. And Chan is largely to thank for that.
In late spring, Chan walked through the tall glass doors of the Broad Institute for the first time in months. As she made her way across the gleaming marble foyer, her sneaker squeaks echoed in the silence. It was like the zombie apocalypse version of the Broad; all the bright lights but none of the people. It felt all the weirder that she was wearing her gym clothes to work.
A few days earlier, the Broad had begun letting researchers back into their labs to restart their projects. All computer work still needed to be done remotely, but bench scientists such as Chan could pop in just long enough to move along their cell cultures, provided they got tested for the virus every four days.
In her lab, Chan donned her white lab coat and took inventory, throwing out months of expired reagents and ordering new materials. Then she rescued a few samples from the freezer, took her seat at one of the tissue-culture hoodsstainless steel, air-controlled cabinets in which cell engineers do their workand began reviving some of her old experiments.
She had mixed emotions about being back. It felt good to free her gene-therapy projects from their stasis, and she was even more excited about the new project she and Deverman were working on: an online tool that allows vaccine developers to track changes in the viruss genome by time, location, and other characteristics. It came out of my personal frustration at not being able to get answers fast, she says.
On the other hand, she missed being all-consumed by her detective work. I wanted to stop after the pangolin preprint, she says, but this mystery keeps drawing me back in. So while she waits for her cell cultures to grow, shes been sleuthing on the sideonly this time she has more company: Increasingly, scientists have been quietly contacting her to share their own theories and papers about COVID-19s origins, forming something of a growing underground resistance. Theres a lot of curiosity, she says. People are starting to think more deeply about it. And they have to, she says, if we are going to prevent future outbreaks: Its really important to find out where this came from so it doesnt happen again.
That is what keeps Chan up at nightthe possibility of new outbreaks in humans from the same source. If the virus emerged naturally from a bat cave, there could well be other strains in existence ready to spill over. If they are closely related, whatever vaccines we develop might work on them, too. But that might not be the case with manipulated viruses from a laboratory. Someone could have been sampling viruses from different caves for a decade and just playing mix-and-match in the lab, and those viruses could be so different from one another that none of our vaccines will work on them, she says. Either way, We need to find where this came from, and close it down.
Whatever important information she finds, we can be sure Chan will share it with the world. Far from being shaken by the controversy her paper stirred, she is more committed than ever to holding a line that could all too easily be overrun. Scientists shouldnt be censoring themselves, she says. Were obliged to put all the data out there. We shouldnt be deciding that its better if the public doesnt know about this or that. If we start doing that, we lose credibility, and eventually we lose the publics trust. And thats not good for science. In fact, it would cause an epidemic of doubt, and that wouldnt be good for any of us.
Original post:
Was COVID-19 Manmade? Meet the Scientist Behind the Theory - Boston magazine
Governor Andrew M. Cuomo today announced for one month, or 31 days, that New York State's COVID-19 infection rate has remained below 1 percent. Yesterday, 0.88 percent of tests reported to the state were positive. The number of new cases, percentage of tests that were positive and many other helpful data points are always available atforward.ny.gov.
"Thanks to the hard work of New Yorkers, our state has now gone a full month with our COVID infection rate remaining below one percent,"Governor Cuomo said."Our numbers have continued to remain stable even as we reach new milestones in our phased, data-driven reopening. As we close out this Labor Day Weekend, I urge everyone to remain smart so we can continue to celebrate our progress in the weeks and months ahead. It took the work of all of us to get here, and to protect this progress we will need to all continue to wash our hands, wear our masks, remain socially distant and above all, stay New York tough."
Yesterday, the State Liquor Authority and State Police Task Force visited 1,064 establishments in New York City and Long Island and observed 7 establishments that were not in compliance with state requirements. A county breakdown of yesterday's observed violations is below:
Today's data issummarized brieflybelow:
Of the 58,865 test results reported to New York State yesterday, 520, or 0.88 percent, were positive. Each region's percentage of positive test results reported over the last three days is as follows:
REGION
FRIDAY
SATURDAY
SUNDAY
Capital Region
0.5%
0.9%
0.5%
CentralNew York
0.7%
0.8%
1.1%
Finger Lakes
0.6%
0.7%
0.7%
Long Island
1.5%
1.1%
1.0%
Mid-Hudson
1.1%
0.9%
1.2%
Mohawk Valley
0.7%
0.9%
1.1%
New York City
0.7%
0.7%
0.8%
North Country
0.2%
0.2%
0.3%
Southern Tier
0.2%
0.5%
0.4%
WesternNew York
1.2%
2.0%
1.9%
The Governor also confirmed 520 additional cases of novel coronavirus, bringing the statewide total to 440,021 confirmed cases in New York State. Of the 440,021 total individuals who tested positive for the virus, the geographic breakdown is as follows:
County
Total Positive
New Positive
Albany
2,833
2
Allegany
92
0
Broome
1,365
8
Cattaraugus
230
1
Cayuga
183
0
Chautauqua
476
1
Chemung
210
2
Chenango
235
0
Clinton
152
0
Columbia
576
1
Cortland
103
0
Delaware
124
1
Dutchess
4,939
11
Read the rest here:
Governor Cuomo Announces One Month with COVID-19 Infection Rate Below 1 Percent - ny.gov
Mbappe took a test on Monday morning that returned positive, the FFF said, and was then isolated from the French national team. France is scheduled to play at home in Paris on Tuesday against Croatia in a UEFA Nations League match.
Mbappe played for France against Sweden on Saturday, scoring the only goal in a 1-0 win.
PSG are set to begin their domestic season on Thursday, but the availability of several of their players is in question following the spate of positive tests.
Angel Di Maria and Leandro Paredes joined Neymar in returning positive tests, their agency confirmed via e-mail to CNN last week. French media said the three teammates all tested positive after returning from vacation in Ibiza, Spain.
Mbappe's representatives have not responded to CNN's requests for comment about his test. Paris Saint-Germain replied by noting that Mbappe "is on duty with the France National Team who have confirmed the positive test."
The forward played an instrumental role in helping France win the 2018 FIFA World Cup, and he was named "Best Young Player" of the tournament.
He led the club in scoring in the 2019-20 Ligue 1 season and helped them reach the UEFA Champions League final in Portugal last month, where PSG lost to Bayern Munich 1-0.
Here is the original post:
Kylian Mbappe tests positive for Covid-19 while playing with France - CNN International
Houston confronts one-two punch of virus, oil bust AP Domestic
Labor Day is meant to be a celebration. A day to reflect on and recognize the achievements of American workers.
There's little to celebrate this year, however, forroustabouts, roughnecks and drillers the hard-working muscle for decades onoil rigs from the wilds of Alaska to high plains of Wyoming. These are jobs that have long helped fuel America. The ongoing coronavirus pandemic has brought it all to a hard stop in many places.
How bad is it?
Texas, the largest oil-producing state in the U.S., had 440land rigs at the end of August last year, according to Baker Hughes' weekly count. That number had shrunk to 104this year.
The story was the same inNorth Dakota, the second-largest oil-producing state: The rig count was down from 51to 10, according to Baker Hughes.
And, in Wyoming, where the oil and gas industry is the state's economic backbone, the rig count dropped to zero for one week in July forthe first time since 1884, Pete Obermueller, executive director of the Petroleum Association of Wyoming Executive Director,told USA TODAY.
"It's historic and troubling," because there are many jobs associated with oil rigs, Obermueller said.
The oil industry is suffering amid the ongoing coronavirus pandemic, with rig counts nationally down from 876 at the end of August last year to 241 this year, according to Baker Hughes.(Photo: Joyce Marshall, AP)
In January, Wyoming had 25 rigs, according to Baker Hughes data. That number had dropped by nearly half by early April and then to zero in July as the COVID-19 pandemic gripped the country.
Each rig accounts for approximately 100 jobs, said Obermueller, meaning thatroughly 2,500 jobs have been lost in The Cowboy State since the beginning of the year.
"In normal times, if a rig lays down in Wyoming, that crew might move to North Dakota, or Texas or New Mexico. But, in this particular climate, there (is) nowhere to move because everyone was down," he said, referring to the dwindling rig count in those states.
"So, it essentially functioned as total job loss," Obermueller said.
New Mexico had 46 rigs at the end of August, down from 108 a year ago, according to Baker Hughes. Neighboring Utah has been without an active rig since the beginning of May.
Utah and Idaho are among the states with the best economies.Where do other states fall?
The national rig count, according to Baker Hughes data, has fallen nearly 30% since the end of August 2019, from 876 to 241, and COVID-19 will likely prevent a quick recovery. Demand is down: Theper-barrel price for October delivery is $42.61, compared to about $58 at this time a year ago.
The loss of every oil job is amplified in Wyoming, where the oil and gas industrypaid for 40% of all property taxesin 2019, according to the petroleum association.It also contributed $705 million to public education and millions more to the state fund and cities, towns and counties.
Obermueller also estimates the Cowboy State isfacing an approximately $2 billion shortfall in state funds with the oil and gas industry plummeting. According to the Petroleum Association of Wyoming, the oil and gas industrypaid for 40% of all property taxes in the state in 2019.
"That's an insurmountable gap," said Obermueller, who estimates the state is facing anapproximately $2 billion shortfall with the oil and gas industry slumping in 2020.
"You can't cut your way out of it and our population is too small to necessarily tax your way out of it, either, so it's intractable and really, really relies heavily on oil and gas being able to stand back up in the state," he added. "It has a community impact that's deeply felt."
While the national rig count has gradually declined over the years even before the coronavirus pandemic oil and gas production has been increasing with the rise ofhorizontal drilling.
In April of last year, the country's oil production sustaineda record-tying 12.1 million barrels per day while petroleum demand was at its highest since 2007, according to the American Petroleum Institute.
That number had reached 12.8 million by the end of 2019, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration.
In Texas, where oil and gas producers evacuated near the Gulf of Mexico before Hurricane Laura made landfall on Aug. 27, the rig count is slowly increasing. The state added up to eight rigs in August before losing one in September, according to Baker Hughes data.
Texas Oil & Gas Association President Todd Staples is taking an optimistic approach.
"Throughout the pandemic, every sector of the Texas oil and natural gas industryexploration and production, oilfield services, transportation and storage, and refining and manufacturing has continued to reliably provide the oil and natural gas products that have helped keep Texans safe, stocked and fueled up," Staples told USA TODAY in a statement.
While oil workers are losing their jobs, Staples said the industryis "well equipped" to helpfamilies, businesses and communities recover during the ongoing pandemic.
The recovery in Wyoming, though,will be different and much more difficult, Obermueller said.
"There's much talk about a V-shaped recovery in other industries, [but] a V-shaped recovery in oil and gas in Wyoming is harder. It will be more U-shaped," he said.
Contributing: The Associated Press
Autoplay
Show Thumbnails
Show Captions
Read or Share this story: https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nation/2020/09/07/covid-19-us-oil-industry-wyoming-texas-baker-hughes/5735992002/
Read more:
But it does. It really does. Heres why.
Many young people navigating this pandemic are asking themselves a two-part health question: What are the odds that I get infected? And if I do get infected, is that really a big deal?
Much of my reporting has focused on the first question. To summarize that work in a sentence: People are at highest risk of infection in communities with a sizable outbreak, when they spend long amounts of time in closed, unventilated spaces where other people close by are talking or otherwise emitting virus-laden globs of spit, and everything is worse when people arent wearing masks. This advice is easy to give, because the best practices hold across the board, for everybody.
Whats the big deal? is a harder question, because the person-to-person outcomes of this disease are so maddeningly variable. The most universal answer must begin with the observation that death is not a synonym for risk.
Read: COVID-19 can last for several months
COVID-19 presents an array of health challenges that are serious, if not imminently fatal. The disease occasionally sends peoples immune system into a frenzy, wreaking havoc on their internal organs. Several studies of asymptomatic patients revealed that more than half of them had lung abnormalities. A March study published in the Journal of the American Heart Association found that 7 to 20 percent of sick patients showed heart damage associated with COVID-19.
As my colleague Ed Yong explained, many COVID-19 patients experience protracted illness. These long-haulers suffer from a diabolical grab bag of symptoms, including chronic fatigue, shortness of breath, unrelenting fevers, gastrointestinal problems, lost sense of smell, hallucinations, short-term-memory loss, bulging veins, bruising, gynecological problems, and an erratic heartbeat. And according to the neuroscientist David Putrino, chronic patients are typically young (the average age in his survey is 44), female, and formerly healthy.
We dont know how many long-haulers are out there. But by combining the conclusion of several well-regarded studies, we can arrive at a decent estimate.
For men in their 30s, like me, about 1.2 percent of COVID-19 infections result in hospitalization, according to a July study published in Science. Once the disease has progressed to this point, the risk of chronic illness soars. Research from Italy found that roughly nine in 10 hospitalized patients said they still had symptoms after two months. A British study reported a similar risk of long-term illness.
Now the math: When you multiply the hospitalization rate for 30-something men (about 1.2 percent) by the chronic-illness rate of hospitalized patients (almost 90 percent), you get about 1 percent. That means a guy my age has one-in-100 chance of developing a long-term illness after contracting COVID-19. For context, the estimated infection-fatality rate for a 60-something is 0.7 percent, according to the same study in Science.
View post:
What Young, Healthy People Have to Fear From COVID-19 - The Atlantic
The Lost Summer of 2020 drew to a close Monday with many big Labor Day gatherings canceled across the U.S. and health authorities pleading with people to keep their distance from others so as not to cause another coronavirus surge like the one that followed Memorial Day.
Downtown Atlanta was quiet as the 85,000 or so people who come dressed as their favorite superheroes or sci-fi characters for the annual Dragon Con convention met online instead. Huge football stadiums at places like Ohio State and the University of Texas sat empty. Many Labor Day parades marking the unofficial end of summer were called off, and masks were usually required at the few that went on.
Please, please do not make the same mistakes we all made on Memorial Day weekend. Wear your masks, watch your distance and wash your hands, said Dr. Raul Pino, state health director in Orange County, Florida, which includes the Orlando area.
The U.S. had about 1.6 million confirmed COVID-19 cases around Memorial Day, before backyard parties and other gatherings contributed to a summertime surge. It now has more than 6.2 million cases, according to the count kept by Johns Hopkins University. Deaths from the virus more than doubled over the summer to nearly 190,000.
In New Orleans, which had one of the largest outbreaks outside of New York City this spring, city officials reminded residents that COVID-19 doesnt take a holiday after they received 36 calls about large gatherings and 46 calls about businesses not following safety rules on Friday and Saturday.
This is not who we are, and this is not how we as a community get back to where we want to be, the city said.
In South Carolina, which was a hot spot of contagion over the summer before cases started to decline in early August, 8,000 fans, including Gov. Henry McMaster, were allowed to attend the NASCAR race at the Darlington Raceway on Sunday. State officials approved a socially distant attendance plan at the track, which can hold 47,000 people.
It was the biggest gathering in the state since the outbreak started six months ago. Many rows and seats were kept empty to keep groups of fans apart, and people were asked to wear masks.
Debbie Katsanos drove down from New Hampshire with her husband, her father and a friend. It was their first trip out of state since COVID-19 started spreading. They had time off because the Labor Day weekend fair where they typically sell concessions canceled this year.
Katsanos said they wore masks at all times when they were away from their motor home, ate in a restaurant only once on the way down and tried to stay socially distant when visiting with other people at their campground.
Its probably our only chance to get somewhere before the summer ends, Katsanos said Monday as she sat in traffic on Interstate 95 in North Carolina on the long trip home. I saw it as the turning of the corner. We survived this. Lets live life a little.
___
Follow AP coverage of the pandemic at https://apnews.com/VirusOutbreak and https://apnews.com/UnderstandingtheOutbreak.
See original here:
The Summer of COVID-19 ends with health officials worried - The Associated Press
9 hours agocoronavirusBy Andy Lyman | 9 hours ago
Andy Lyman
With an additional four deaths related to COVID-19 and 46 new positive cases reported on Sunday by New Mexico health officials, the state has seen 807 deaths and 26,144 confirmed cases of the disease. As of Sunday, the state Department of Health reported 65 people are hospitalized in the state with the disease and 13,604 have been deemed recovered.
According to state officials, all four of the latest deaths came from counties with the most total number of cases.
The largest number of newly reported cases came from Bernalillo County, which is the most populous county in the state and the county with the most cumulative number of cases.
McKinley and San Juan Counties have the second and third highest number of cases, respectively.
Here are the breakdown of the total number of cases of COVID-19 by correctional facilities that house federal detainees:
The Department of Health currently reports the following numbers of COVID-19 cases among individuals held by federal agencies at the following facilities:
Below is the breakdown of positive cases by facilities that house state inmates.
There are currently 44 congregate care facilities in New Mexico that have reported at least one case of COVID-19 in the past 28 days.
State officials continue to encourage New Mexicans to stay home if possible and everyone is required to wear a face covering when in public.
Those who show symptoms of COVID-19 like fever, cough, shortness of breath, chills, repeated shaking with chills, muscle pain, headache, sore throat, congestion or runny nose, nausea or vomiting, diarrhea, or loss of taste or smell should call their medical provider or the DOH COVID-19 hotline at 1-855-600-3453.
.
Related
Original post:
On 31 August 2020 the Euro-Atlantic Disaster Response Coordination Centre (EADRCC) received a request for international assistance from KFOR.
Following a request by the Institutions in Kosovo, the Commander of the Kosovo Force (COM KFOR) has requested international assistance to help the latter in coping with the COVID-19 pandemic through the expansion of their medical response capacity. The appropriate military channels endorsed COM KFORs request while concluding that the requested capabilities are not readily available through military channels and forwarded it to the International Staff.
Original post:
KFOR requests international assistance in their response to COVID-19 - NATO HQ
TheWest Virginia Department of Health and Human Resources (DHHR) reportsas of 10:00 a.m., on September 6, 2020, there have been 458,180 total confirmatory laboratory results receivedfor COVID-19, with 11,412 total cases and 246 deaths.
DHHRhas confirmed the deaths of an 81-year old male from Kanawha County, an 83-year old female fromLogan County, and a 68-year old male from Monroe County. Asmany West Virginians are growing tired of the thought of COVID-19, we must,more than ever, stay vigilant in our efforts to prevent further spread andrealize that the virus is among us, said Bill J. Crouch, DHHR CabinetSecretary. We extend our sympathies to these families for their profound loss.
CASESPER COUNTY: Barbour (35), Berkeley (825), Boone(154), Braxton (9), Brooke (102), Cabell (580), Calhoun (17), Clay (29),Doddridge (11), Fayette (412), Gilmer (20), Grant (144), Greenbrier (106),Hampshire (93), Hancock (125), Hardy (75), Harrison (297), Jackson (211),Jefferson (388), Kanawha (1,686), Lewis (36), Lincoln (126), Logan (520),Marion (227), Marshall (133), Mason (119), McDowell (74), Mercer (349), Mineral(146), Mingo (276), Monongalia (1,371), Monroe (136), Morgan (40), Nicholas(57), Ohio (296), Pendleton (45), Pleasants (15), Pocahontas (45), Preston (141),Putnam (340), Raleigh (390), Randolph (228), Ritchie (6), Roane (36), Summers(21), Taylor (110), Tucker (12), Tyler (15), Upshur (45), Wayne (285), Webster(7), Wetzel (45), Wirt (8), Wood (322), Wyoming (71).
Pleasenote that delays may be experienced with the reporting of information from thelocal health department to DHHR. As case surveillance continues at the localhealth department level, it may reveal that those tested in a certain countymay not be a resident of that county, or even the state as an individual inquestion may have crossed the state border to be tested.Such is the case of Marionand Upshur counties in this report.
Pleasevisit the dashboard located at http://www.coronavirus.wv.gov for more information.
Link:
COVID-19 Daily Update 9-6-2020 - West Virginia Department of Health and Human Resources
