Health outcomes in people 2 years after surviving hospitalisation with COVID-19: a longitudinal cohort study – The Lancet
See original here:
See original here:
The closure of Lincoln College is a shocking turnaround for a small Illinois college that welcomes first-generation students and qualifies as a predominantly Black institution. Google Earth 2022 hide caption
The closure of Lincoln College is a shocking turnaround for a small Illinois college that welcomes first-generation students and qualifies as a predominantly Black institution.
The 1918 influenza pandemic couldn't bring Lincoln College down. Neither could the Great Depression or World War II. It survived a major fire and economic hardships. But the college is closing for good on Friday the victim of two modern blights: the COVID-19 pandemic and a cyberattack.
It's a shocking turnaround for the small private Illinois school that has welcomed thousands of first-generation college students and qualified for federal recognition as a predominantly Black institution, or PBI.
"Lincoln College has been serving students from across the globe for more than 157 years," college President David Gerlach said in a statement on the school's website. "The loss of history, careers, and a community of students and alumni is immense."
"There were tears" when the college's board of trustees voted to shutter the institution, trustee Kathryn Harris told member station WGLT of Illinois State University.
"It's painful to the faculty, certainly to the students, to the alumni, to the city of Lincoln and to Logan County," Harris said. "I'm particularly pained by it because ... for a lot of students, particularly the Black students, are the first in their family to go to college. I'm proud for them ... but for those students who only have one more semester wow, that's painful."
The decision to close was announced in late March, when Gerlach told students the college would cease to operate after the end of the spring term. Current and former students said they felt blindsided by the school that had offered them opportunity and a safe haven from uncertain circumstances.
"That whole campus just can't go to waste. It's too necessary," recent graduate Arielle Williams, a Chicago native who was president of Lincoln's Black Student Union, told WGLT in April. "I don't think people are understanding what this is going to do to a generation of students."
Lincoln College saw record enrollment in the fall of 2019, filling its dormitories. But the pandemic hit months later, disrupting campus life and limiting the school's ability to raise money and recruit new students. COVID-19 forced the school to lay out cash for new technology and safety measures, at a time when it saw a significant drop in enrollment, as students paused their college careers.
Then, in December 2021, a ransomware attack struck that "thwarted admissions activities and hindered access to all institutional data," the college said.
The cyberattack blocked crucial data the college uses to project its academic and economic future. When it finally regained access to its computer systems in March, the news was dire: Fall enrollment of around 630 full-time students wouldn't be nearly enough to bolster its accounts. It would take a "transformational donation or partnership" for the school to continue to exist into the summer, it said.
The ransomware attack originated in Iran, Gerlach has said. The school paid less than $100,000 to restore its systems, he told the Chicago Tribune. But the college would need far more money as much as $53 million, Gerlach said in an interview with WGLT to guarantee its long-term survival.
At least 14 U.S. colleges or universities and nine school districts have been hit by ransomware demands so far in 2022, according to Brett Callow, a threat analyst at Emsisoft, a cybersecurity company based in New Zealand. Data was stolen in 13 of the 23 cases.
Callow says the hackers customize their ransom demands to each victim.
"The amount the attackers ask for varies enormously depending on the organization they've hit," Callow said. "They've typically had access to the organization's financials they'll know whether it cover carries cyber insurance, for example, and what the coverage limits are."
In each of the past two years, ransomware has hit more than 80 education organizations, Callow told NPR. In 2021, that included 62 school districts and 26 colleges and universities.
When asked why the education sector seems particularly vulnerable to cyberattacks, Callow says many school districts and colleges are facing such security challenges for the first time.
"School districts are basically having to design their own security networks, and you see these very small districts with barely any IT experience" trying to strategize and pay for measures such as quarterly penetration testing and 24/7 network monitoring.
The prevalent threat has made insurance itself into a burden: a public school district in Bloomington, some 30 miles northeast of Lincoln, recently saw its cyber-insurance price skyrocket from $6,661 to $22,229.
Lincoln College was chartered in 1865 and named for Abraham Lincoln. It's located in the small town of Lincoln, with a population of around 13,300, according to the U.S. Census Bureau.
In the past decade, Lincoln transitioned from being a junior college to return to its origins as a four-year institution. It has played a prominent role in its local community, fielding sports teams and operating student-run radio and TV outlets. But a fundraising campaign to help the school fell far short of its $20 million goal.
With its closing imminent, Lincoln College has devoted its website to answering the many questions its students, alumni and staff now find themselves facing. It's also working to provide transcripts and transfer information, to help them document the work they put in at the school.
At its final commencement ceremony last week, Lincoln conferred associate's, bachelor's, or master's degrees on 235 students.
See the article here:
Lincoln College closes after 157 years, blaming COVID-19 and cyberattack disruptions - NPR
But, in the last few weeks, reports have emerged that some people who receive the medication develop a "rebound" of symptoms of varying intensity and duration a few days after completion of the five-day course. For some, this included reversion to a positive diagnostic Covid-19 test.The frequency of the rebound is not well defined. The large clinical trial that resulted in emergency use authorization (EUA) of Paxlovid found that 1% to 2% of persons in both the treatment and placebo groups of the trial had a positive PCR test after an initial negative test post-infection. (Of note, many trial patients were otherwise asymptomatic when they had this post-infection positive result and an increase in hospitalization, death and drug resistance was not observed.) So, the Paxlovid rebound was not expected and the frequency of it is currently unknown.
My guess is that this is occurring more frequently than in 1% or 2% of people. Right now, we only have a series of anecdotes and friends' worried phone calls. Plus, some of the main symptoms, like sniffles and headache, can be ascribed to allergies or angst or whatever.
I should know... for I, too, am a rebounder. After the first dose or two of antiviral, I welcomed a glorious easing of my symptoms. But then, three or four days after stopping my meds, my nose began to run once more, my morning throat discomfort returned, as did the grinding headache, the low-grade fever and the sudden, even dramatic fatigue that resolved only after a brief, or not so brief, nap.
I wasn't certain that it was a rebound, so I reached out to doctor friends who also were caught in the latest Omicron wave to exchange stories. To my surprise, many told me that they too had rebounded a little or a lot after finishing their Paxlovid course. Granted, doctors are particularly predisposed to describing even a sniffle or the passing throat twinge in excruciating detail. The challenge of applying hyper-technical medical-ese to our own mortal selves somehow is irresistible.
The complaints I heard from friends though were not simply verbal acrobatics: Some felt lousy enough to miss a day or two of work. Others felt worse than ever. Personally, I dragged for several days, never quite sure if I was ill or milking it a bit -- until the sudden fatigue descended at an odd moment and lying down right there on the floor for 40 winks seemed like a great idea.
So once again we are in uncharted Covid-19 waters, trying to use sort-of-similar situations as a guide for what's ahead even as countless new questions arise.
First, does the rise in the amount of detectable virus during rebound mean a person is again contagious and, if so, does the rule of five days of isolation, five more days of masking no longer apply? (My guess is that a longer stay away from the crowd is necessary.) Second, is there a connection, favorable or not, between rebounding and development of long Covid-19? (I doubt it.)
Will this bounce back predispose to a faster emergence of drug resistance? (So far, no, but data is still being collected.) What about the impact of a rebound on protection against the next variant? It might be wishful thinking, but one could argue that the rebound and re-exposure to virus so soon after the first challenge could lead to a more durable immune response.
These questions lead us to the tiresome but correct bromide that more studies are needed to figure out the implications of this bump in the road.
As with other substantial steps forward, including effective vaccination, treatment with the steroid dexamethasone, immunity from infection and monoclonal antibody treatment, we have been reminded again that no shortcuts exist in the battle to control the pandemic. Like all real-life struggles, this particular game is very, very difficult to change. But all can agree that, more than two years into the pandemic, the likely fate of a person, aka the "game," who was infected in March 2020 versus now has been fundamentally changed.
See the rest here:
Opinion: Rebound after taking Paxlovid is the latest twist in the Covid-19 puzzle - CNN
BIRMINGHAM, Ala. (WBMA) Research from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention finds more American teenagers said they were abused during the pandemic lockdown. Caption: Research suggests virtual learning impacted child abuse reports during COVID-19 pandemic (WBMA) Around 55% of respondents said they suffered emotional abuse from a parent or another adult.
See the original post here:
Research suggests virtual learning impacted child abuse reports during ...
TAIPEI, Taiwan Until recently, China and Taiwan were among the last places on earth to pursue a zero Covid policy of eliminating infections. For two years, they mostly succeeded in keeping the coronavirus out with tough border controls and rigorous contact tracing.
Then came the highly transmissible Omicron variant.
Faced with surging coronavirus cases, the two governments are now taking vastly different approaches. In China, the authorities are doubling down. They have imposed stringent lockdowns, mass testing and centralized quarantines for confirmed cases and close contacts. The glittering financial capital of Shanghai has been in a strict and punishing lockdown for more than a month to contain a large outbreak.
In Taiwan, by contrast, the government is shifting from a strategy of elimination to one of mitigation. Despite soaring case counts, Taiwan is now allowing people with mild and asymptomatic infections to isolate at home instead of in hospitals. The government slashed the number of days in quarantine required of incoming travelers and people deemed close contacts.
We are now moving from zero Covid to the path of coexisting with the virus, Chen Shih-chung, Taiwans health minister, said at a news briefing on Tuesday, adding that he expected Covid to become more flulike in nature.
The governments shift in approach reflects an acceptance of growing evidence that Omicron, while highly transmissible, is less deadly. It is also a recognition that pandemic measures such as quarantine requirements for travelers were stifling economic activity and eroding the islands international competitiveness.
Even though their response has been a bit slow, they have responded to these voices and to scientific evidence, said Chunhuei Chi, director of the Center for Global Health at Oregon State University and a former policy adviser to Taiwans National Health Insurance Administration.
Under the new model, Taiwanese health officials say, they are shifting their focus from looking at total infections to reducing disasters. That means redirecting resources to focus on protecting the most vulnerable populations, like older adults and those with underlying conditions. The authorities are also putting more emphasis on vaccinations instead of quarantines and contact tracing.
Though cases have surged, officials have emphasized that more than 99.7 percent of the new infections so far have been mild or asymptomatic. On Monday, Taiwans health authorities reported 40,263 locally transmitted cases and 12 deaths, bringing the death toll since the start of the outbreak in April to 78. The authorities have warned that daily infections could surpass 100,000 this week.
The governments shift is partly out of necessity. Its Covid strategy allowed Taiwan for much of the past more than two years to be a rare haven, where international concerts and conferences could be held without fear of the virus. Now, as the rest of the world has dropped border controls and restarted business, that distinction has largely evaporated, and Taiwan risks losing out on tourism and investment by continuing to stay closed.
Political considerations are also at play. Taiwan has used its success with Covid to burnish its image as a beacon of democracy, in contrast to the authoritarian Communist Party of China, which claims the island as its territory.
Unlike China, Taiwans leaders say, Taiwan can balance the needs of public health with the rights of the individual and the healthy functioning of society. At the other extreme is the crisis in Shanghai, where officials imposed a poorly planned lockdown that sometimes arbitrarily confined residents to mass isolation facilities, separated children from their parents and led to food shortages.
Even in Beijing, which has so far avoided a citywide lockdown, the authorities have sealed off many apartment complexes and neighborhoods, confining residents to their homes, when only a few cases have been found. On Monday, the city announced that schools, which had closed on April 29, one day earlier than a scheduled weeklong break for the May Day holiday, would remain closed until further notice and classes would be online.
Leo Du, 38, who works in venture capital in Beijing, said the inconvenience imposed by the measures was intolerable.
How could it be that two years into the pandemic, he wondered, China was still hoarding toilet paper and maintaining armies of workers in head-to-toe protective suits while the rest of the world was seemingly moving on?
It makes me very sad and pissed about where I am, Mr. Du said, seeing people elsewhere living a normal life.
The toll of the lockdowns across China has prompted an unusual outpouring of criticism at home of the partys zero-Covid policy. But Chinese censors have gone into overdrive to scrub dissent, arguing that opening up would only invite untold deaths and chaos.
Beijing has pushed a triumphant political narrative about its success with Covid, claiming that it proved the countrys model of centralized power saved more lives than that of liberal democracies. At a news conference last month, Ma Xiaoguang, spokesman for Chinas Taiwan Affairs Office, commented on Taiwans recent move away from a zero-Covid policy, saying you can calculate how many people will lose their lives.
Taiwan wants to show that it does not suffer from the ideological rigidity that has come to define the Communist Party under Xi Jinping. We will not lock down the country and cities as cruelly as China, said Su Tseng-chang, Taiwans premier, during a visit to Taiwans Centers for Disease Control this month.
Its a message that resonates with many citizens. Bill Chu, 45, an engineer at an information technology company in Taipei who was waiting at a hospital for a P.C.R. test on Wednesday, said that seeing reports of the harsh quarantine conditions and food shortages in Shanghai had reinforced his belief that Taiwan was moving in the right direction.
Every country is different, and their approaches to Covid are different, said Mr. Chu. I prefer the more people-centered and flexible one.
Mr. Su has said that Taiwans opening would be gradual. Even so, the government may be moving too quickly for some.
It appears to have been caught off guard by the surge in cases, with long lines forming at pharmacies and hospitals for P.C.R. and rapid antigen tests. The shift could also be risky for Taiwans older adults, with vaccination rates in that age group lower than that in Singapore and South Korea, countries that have eased restrictions without a significant surge in the death rate from infections.
Officials in Taiwan say 69 percent of people age 65 and older had received three shots, up slightly from the month before, but still low relative to the broader population. More than half of the 78 deaths reported in the recent outbreak have been among older adults who were not fully vaccinated. The vaccination of children between the ages of 6 and 11, meanwhile, is being rolled out only this month. More than 2,000 schools have suspended in-person teaching.
Another challenge for Taiwan is convincing the public that this change is the right move. In Taipei, even though the city has avoided shutting down businesses, people are staying away. Restaurants, bars and gyms that were once packed are now noticeably quieter. In a community that has largely avoided the coronavirus, fear of outbreaks is not uncommon, and it may take time for residents to accept new norms.
Chen Yan-sheng, 37, a human resources manager who lives in New Taipei City, near Taipei, said that when he got Covid last month, he immediately felt afraid and ashamed, because he didnt know anyone else who had it. Since then, though, six other friends tested positive too, he said, and they all seemed to be doing OK.
He used to be wary of the islands push to ease restrictions, but has since changed his mind.
I think living with the virus is inevitable, Mr. Chen said. Its only a matter of time before we all get it.
Read more:
Covid-19 News: Cases, Treatment and More Updates - The New York Times
Beginning the afternoon of Sunday, May 8, COVID-19 PCR drive-thru testing will be available to the community on the Bartlett campus across from the Emergency Department entrance. General hours of operation will be seven days a week from 8:15 a.m. 5:45 p.m.
Individuals who need a COVID-19 PCR test must register for an appointment. The registration process remains the same individuals are encouraged to self-register online or call the testing hotline if they need assistance. Calls to the testing hotline will be returned the same day when received between 8:30 a.m. 5:00 p.m.
Drive-thru testing will be conducted on the Bartlett campus (3260 Hospital Drive) across from the Emergency Department (ED) entrance. Individuals arriving for an appointment should stay to the right side of the roadway, pass the patient registration entrance, and proceed towards the ED entrance on the backside of campus (map and testing site photos). Test collection will occur from the vehicle; individuals do not need to enter the hospital. Please be advised that road construction is currently happening on campus and individuals are asked to drive slowly and follow road signage.
As a reminder:
For more information, please contact the City Managers Office at (907) 586-5240.
Read more:
Video: Boston doctor explains why conditions could be ripe for COVID-19 surge later this year
Updated: 6:08 PM EDT May 9, 2022
Hide TranscriptShow Transcript
ANNOUNCER: YOU'RE WATCHING WCVB NEWSCENTER 5T A 5:30. ERIA: A NEW REPORT TODAY WARNS, THE U.S. COULD FACE 100 MILLION NEW COVID INFECTIONS THIS FALL AND WINTER. HERE TO SWANER YOUR QUESTIONS IS DR. SANDRA NELSON, AN ASSOCIATE DIRECTOR WITHIN THE DIVISION OF INFECTIOUS DISEASES AT MASS GENERAL HOSPITAL. BEN: WE'VE HEARD MANY TIMES, THE ONLY THING PREDICTABLE AUTBO THIS VIRUS IS THAT IT'S UNPREDICTABLE. SO HOW MUCH FAITH DO YOU HAVE IN THIS NEW FEDALER FORECAST? >> THERARE E SEVERAL MODELS THAT ARE PREDICTING THAT WE MAY SEE A SURGE INHE T FALL OR WINTER. THE MAGNITUDE OR THE SEVERITY OF THAT SURGE IS REALLY WHAT WE DOTN' UNDERSTAND. WHAT I THINK THE MODELS ARE TELLING US THE CONDITISON ARE REALLY RIPE FOR A LATE FALL EARLY WINTER SURGE. WE'LL BE SEEING LOSS OF PROTECTION. YOU STILL HAVE HIGHLY TRANSMISSIBLE VARIANTS THAT ARE CIRCULATING. WE RELAXED OUR MITIGATION SOMEWHAT. ALL OF THOSE THINGS FAVOR A FALL WINTER SURGE. ERIKA: THE ONLY STRAINS CIRCULATING RIGHT NOW ARE OFF-SHOOTS OF THE OMICRON VARIANT. DOES THIS FORECAST SUGGEST THAT WE'LL SEE A BRAND NEW VARIANT THIS FL?AL >> I THINK AS YOU ALRDYEA MENTIONED ANYTHING IS REAYLL POSSIBLE. MOST OF THE MODELS ARE PREDICTING THAT WE ARE STILL GOING TO BE SEEGIN VARIANTS OR SOME VARIANTS WITHIN THE OMIONCR FAMILY. NEW VARIANTS DO OCCUR AT ANY TIME AND THEY BECOME PREDOMINANT IF THEY BECOME MORE TRANSMISSIBLE. ALL OF THESE ARE POSSIBLE. IT'S NOT WITHOUT THE REALM OF POSSIBILITY THAT WE'LL SEE A DIFFERENT VARIANT IN THE FUTURE. BEN: LET'S TALK ABOUT IMMUNITY. RIGHT NOW, MANY OF US HAVE BEEN VACCINATED OR INFECTED, OR BO.TH SO DO YOU THKIN WE MAY HAVE GENERATED ENOUGH ANTIBODIES TO AT LEAST HAVE SOME PROTECONTI THROUGH THE FALL, AND MAYBE EVEN THE WINTER T?OO >> WE ABSOLUTELY HAVE A HIGH LEVEL OF ANTIBODY PROTECTION. WHAT WE'VE SEEN IS TWO FACTORS THATRE A AT PLAY THAT I THINK WE STILL EDNE TO BE CAME. ANTIBODY LEVELS DO WANE. THAT DO LEAD TO LOSS OF PROTECTION AGAINST INFECTION WHILE STILL PROTECTION AGASTIN THE SEVERE MANIFESTATION OF THE DISEASE. OTHER THING WE'RE WATCHING IS THE EXPERIENCE OUTF O SOUTH AFRICA. WHICH HAD AN EARLY OMICRON WAY BACK IN THE LATE FALL EARLY WINTER WITH ONE OFHE T SUBVARIANTS OF OMICRON, BA1, THEY ARE NOW SEEING A SECOND OMICRON WAVE WITH A DIFFERENT VARIANT. WHAT WE DON'T KNOW WELL IS HOW WELL INFECTION IN OUR EXISTING ANTIBODIES MAY PROTECTS U AGAINST FUTURE VARIANTS OF OMIC
Video: Boston doctor explains why conditions could be ripe for COVID-19 surge later this year
Updated: 6:08 PM EDT May 9, 2022
The Biden administration warns that the U.S. could face 100 million new COVID-19 infections this fall and winter.
The Biden administration warns that the U.S. could face 100 million new COVID-19 infections this fall and winter.
See the original post here:
Here's why conditions could be ripe for COVID-19 surge later this year - WCVB Boston
Mike Stucka USA TODAY NETWORK| Newport Daily News
New coronavirus cases leaped in Rhode Island in the week ending Sunday, rising 26.2% as 4,268 cases were reported. The previous week had 3,383 new cases of the virus that causes COVID-19.
Rhode Island ranked second among the states where coronavirus was spreading the fastest on a per-person basis, a USA TODAY Network analysis of Johns Hopkins University data shows. In the latest week coronavirus cases in the United States increased 33.2% from the week before, with 501,037 cases reported. With 0.32% of the country's population, Rhode Island had 0.85% of the country's cases in the last week. Across the country, 43 states had more cases in the latest week than they did in the week before.
Newport County reported 296 cases and one death in the latest week. A week earlier, it had reported 192 cases and two deaths. Throughout the pandemic it has reported 20,876 cases and 93 deaths.
Within Rhode Island, the worst weekly outbreaks on a per-person basis were in Newport County with 361 cases per 100,000 per week; Washington County with 340; and Bristol County with 326. The Centers for Disease Control says high levels of community transmission begin at 100 cases per 100,000 per week.
Adding the most new cases overall were Providence County, with 1,922 cases; Kent County, with 513 cases; and Washington County, with 427. Weekly case counts rose in five counties from the previous week. The worst increases from the prior week's pace were in Providence, Kent and Newport counties.
>> See how your community has fared with recent coronavirus cases
Rhode Island ranked 1st among states in share of people receiving at least one shot, with 98.6% of its residents at least partially vaccinated. The national rate is 77.7%, a USA TODAY analysis of CDC data shows. The Pfizer and Moderna vaccines, which are the most used in the United States, require two doses administered a few weeks apart.
In the week ending Wednesday, Rhode Island reported administering another 11,586 vaccine doses, including 2,626 first doses. In the previous week, the state administered 12,829 vaccine doses, including 2,226 first doses. In all, Rhode Island reported it has administered 2,222,957 total doses.
In Rhode Island, four people were reported dead of COVID-19 in the week ending Sunday. In the week before that, eight people were reported dead.
A total of 375,897 people in Rhode Island have tested positive for the coronavirus since the pandemic began, and 3,544 people have died from the disease, Johns Hopkins University data shows. In the United States 81,863,725 people have tested positive and 997,526 people have died.
>> Track coronavirus cases across the United States
USA TODAY analyzed federal hospital data as of Sunday, May 8.
Likely COVID patients admitted in the state:
Likely COVID patients admitted in the nation:
Hospitals in 36 states reported more COVID-19 patients than a week earlier, while hospitals in 32 states had more COVID-19 patients in intensive-care beds. Hospitals in 35 states admitted more COVID-19 patients in the latest week than a week prior, the USA TODAY analysis of U.S. Health and Human Services data shows.
The USA TODAY Network is publishing localized versions of this story on its news sites across the country, generated with data from Johns Hopkins University and the Centers for Disease Control. If you have questions about the data or the story, contact Mike Stucka at mstucka@gannett.com.
Read more from the original source:
Newport County reported 296 additional COVID-19 cases this week - newportri.com
Hours and locations for Covid-19 surveillance testing are being reduced as Georgia Tech transitions into summer operations.
Hours and locations for Covid-19 surveillance testing are being reduced as Georgia Tech transitions into summer operations.
Effective Monday, May 9, testing will become limited to the Price Gilbert Library test site. The Price Gilbert location will continue to operate from Monday, Tuesday, and Thursday each week, limiting hours from 9 a.m. to 1 p.m. and 2 to 4 p.m.
The decrease in hours and locations comes following a recent decline in surveillance testing numbers as well as past levels of participation on campus during summer semesters.
Travel testing will also be done entirely with campus tests, which are collected at 4 p.m. each day and processed the next day. Vault kits will no longer be included.
We will continue to provide updates and additional information regarding Covid-19 testing at health.gatech.edu/coronavirus/testing.
Here is the original post:
White House officials are reportedly preparing for 100 million new COVID-19 infections in Americans this fall and winter, according to reports. If the predictions are correct, about 30% of the population would be newly infected with the virus.
An official told The New York Times that the 100 million number is the median of what is expected. Meaning, its not a worst- or best-case scenarioits somewhere in between.
According to CNN, the Biden administration requested $22.5 billion in supplemental COVID-19 relief fundingfor testing, treatments, and to help prevent future outbreaksin March in a government funding package, but it was removed from the bill. If the funding isnt approved, the White House will take funding from testing, new treatments, and vaccine outreach and try to stockpile it to have an enough updated vaccines available only for elderly people, a senior administration official told a group of reporters, per The Hill.
The news comes just days after the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) released a report that found 60% of Americansand 75% of childrenhad been infected with COVID-19 by February.
The news raises a lot of questions, including what you can do now to prepare for the upcoming surge. Heres what you need to know.
It looks that way. The administration official predicted the next wave of COVID-19 infections would start this summer in Southern states, where people will head inside to try to get out of the heat, per The Times. That will be followed by surges in the rest of the countryincluding the Northin the fall.
Doctors say the prediction makes sense. This virus is unfortunately a keeper, says Thomas Russo, M.D., professor and chief of infectious disease at the University at Buffalo in New York. Its going to be minimally like flu where we see intermittent surges and winter respiratory virus season is an unquestionable time when were going to see a surge.
Cases are always going to increase and decrease, says Amesh A. Adalja, M.D., a senior scholar at the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security. The virus is never to be eradicated, he suggests, noting that it joins four other types of coronaviruses that are responsible for 30% of common colds.
The next surge of COVID is already underway, says William Schaffner, M.D., an infectious disease specialist and professor at the Vanderbilt University School of Medicine. Were seeing increasing numbers of mild casesthat will certainly continue, he says. It is possible that, as we get to the fall where peoples immunity from vaccination and natural infection begins to wane and we start to go indoors more, there will be more spread.
Existing vaccines also arent great at preventing infection, so theres likely to be a jump in cases in the fall and winter as people head indoors more, Dr. Russo says. However, he adds, if people are fully vaccinated or have recently been infected with the virus, theyre likely to have more mild cases.
But ultimately, Dr. Russo says, we dont know what next winter will hold.
Delta and Omicron variants made headlines when they were the dominant variants, and now BA.2.12.1 is wrecking havoc. The Omicron sub-variant now makes up 36.5% of new COVID-19 infections in the U.S., per CDC dataup from just 3.5% of cases in late March.
New variants will appear and may be able to get around some of the immunity from vaccination and prior infection but will be unlikely to erase all the protection that exists, especially against what matters: hospitalization, Dr. Adalja says.
Each variant tends to stick around for six months or so, Dr. Russo points out. While there is talk of creating an Omicron-specific booster, Dr. Russo says its effectiveness at preventing future infections all depends on whether Omicron is actually the dominant variant in the fall and winter. If a new variant pops up thats immunologically poorly related to Omicron, we may have more disease, he says.
Dr. Schaffner also notes that BA.2.12.1 is a very contagious virus and will cause lots of cases as it continues to circulate.
Dr. Adalja point out that COVID-19 isnt going anywhere. Each person has to decide what level of protection they want from COVID based on their own individual risk tolerance, he says.
Doctors stress the importance of getting vaccinated. Make sure youre up to date with your vaccination regimen, Dr. Russo says. But all of the things we know work in terms of protecting yourself from COVID will still hold for the upcoming winter surge. That includes masking up when COVID cases are at moderate or high levels in your area, washing your hands well, and doing your best to avoid crowded indoor spaces.
As for what you can do this second, Dr. Schaffner says its not a bad idea to stock up on high quality KN95 and N95 masks while theyre in stock and on sale at a reasonable price.
Overall, though, Dr. Adalja urges people to be aware that COVID-19 is something well continue to need to think about. It is ultimately an unavoidable virus, he says.
This content is created and maintained by a third party, and imported onto this page to help users provide their email addresses. You may be able to find more information about this and similar content at piano.io
Read the rest here: