Category: Covid-19

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Tracking Risk Factors Related to an Outbreak of COVID-19 Among Healthcare Workers in a General Medicine Ward – Cureus

November 8, 2023

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Tracking Risk Factors Related to an Outbreak of COVID-19 Among Healthcare Workers in a General Medicine Ward - Cureus

TB Is the World’s Second Deadliest Infectious Disease – Statista

November 8, 2023

Tuberculosis, or TB, was the worlds second deadliest infectious disease in 2022, following only after Covid-19. According to data from the World Health Organization, an estimated 1.13 million HIV-negative people died from TB last year. To put this into perspective, the officially reported death toll for Covid was 1.24 million in 2022, while total deaths from AIDS/HIV totaled 0.63 million and malaria 0.62 million.

When people with HIV die from TB, their deaths are officially classified as deaths from AIDS/HIV. Tuberculosis is also known as the leading killer for people living with HIV/AIDS.

In terms of all known causes of deaths, the WHO estimated in 2019 that where heart disease, strokes and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease were the three biggest killers, TB came in rank 13.

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TB Is the World's Second Deadliest Infectious Disease - Statista

Assessment to Care Survey – City of San Antonio – City of San Antonio

November 8, 2023

Published on November 06, 2023

The City of San Antonio Metropolitan Health District (Metro Health) has identified obstacles Bexar County residents encountered when accessing care during the COVID-19 pandemic. In collaboration with the Bexar County Health Collaborative, Institute for Demographic and Socioeconomic Research at The University of Texas at San Antonio (IDSER UTSA), and CI: Now, Metro Health gathered insights from various community leaders, stakeholders, and residents.

Through this assessment, Metro Health gained a better understanding as to who lacked access to health care and the existing obstacles in receiving health services. Out of the top nine obstacles identified, we are asking the community to help us identify what they consider to be their top three.

Survey

Access to Care Overview (PDF) Access to Care Survey (PDF) Access to Care Assessment (PDF)

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Assessment to Care Survey - City of San Antonio - City of San Antonio

‘I missed Mum’s death by seconds because of care home Covid rules’ – BBC.com

November 8, 2023

7 November 2023

Updated 9 hours ago

Image source, Scottish Covid-19 Inquiry

Natasha Hamilton told the inquiry she did not have a chance to say a final goodbye to her mother

A woman missed being with her mother when she died in a care home by seconds because of Covid restrictions during the pandemic, an inquiry has heard.

Natasha Hamilton had to get the results of a Covid test and then "wait her turn" to visit her mother.

The Scottish Covid Inquiry heard she was too late to say a final farewell.

Her mother Anne Duke, who had dementia, died on 13 November 2021 aged 63. Her cause of death was given as Alzheimer's and pneumonia.

She was 56 when she was diagnosed with Alzheimer's in 2014 and was admitted to a care home in 2018.

Ms Hamilton told the inquiry that dementia "destroyed" her mother, but she visited the care home regularly before the pandemic and "cherished" the moments she spent with her.

But she said she did not have a chance to say a final goodbye to her mother as she was "waiting her turn" while her father and sister were in the room.

Her voice choking with emotion, she said: "I was up in my in-laws' house because I wasn't able to enter the care home until a certain point.

"I had to take a PCR Covid test. I got to my mum's room, I opened the door and my dad was frantic and I looked at my sister and my sister just nodded at me.

"I'd missed being with my mum by seconds because we had to stagger who was coming into the care home."

Natasha Hamilton started campaigning for changes to visiting rules after her mother Anne Duke, 63, was cut off from family in a care home during the pandemic

The group want the proposed "Anne's law" - named after Anne Duke - to be passed in full and put into national standards.

The inquiry also heard from Ms Hamilton's father Campbell Duke, who said it felt like care home residents were kept "under lock and key" during the pandemic.

He said: "My wife was one of the few sectors of society which literally had somebody standing at their front door with the keys saying 'You shall not pass'."

Stuart Gale KC then read from a written statement Mr Duke gave to the inquiry, in which he said: "The government must never again be allowed to imprison our most frail and vulnerable in such an inhumane way. It has been despicable, heartless and relentless."

Mr Duke also spoke of the unsatisfactory nature of "garden visits" which were allowed from August 2020.

He said: "Our garden visits were taking place in a car park with potholes in it, 15 feet away from the pavement where people were passing by, and my wife was brought out to be paraded, sat two to three metres away from me with a member of staff sitting watching, listening to everything.

"It was cold, a Scottish summer. People were walking by 15 feet away, they could see us, they could hear us, they knew what was going on. It was not private at all."

The inquiry later heard evidence from Alison Leitch of the group Care Home Relatives Scotland (CHRS), who told the panel she was prevented from seeing her mother, Kathleen, at the last minute on Christmas Day 2022.

The care home had previously agreed to allow residents to spend time with their families.

However, Ms Leitch said she was told at about 20:00 on Christmas Eve that she would not be allowed to see her mother due to a flu outbreak.

She told the panel the nurse she spoke to had "never heard of a care home being closed for flu" in her 30 years of nursing.

Ms Leitch added: "Still, words fail me about this. After everything that we have been through, somebody made the decision to ruin Christmas again.

"I saw families shouting through windows on Christmas Day last year. The place was so empty."

She went on to say the decision was "unforgiveable".

The aim of Scotland's Covid public inquiry is to establish the facts of what happened during the country's response to the pandemic and work out what lessons can be learned for future public health emergencies.

The inquiry, which continues in Edinburgh, has been commissioned by the Scottish government.

But it operates independently under chairman Lord Brailsford, who can demand evidence and compel witnesses to attend.

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'I missed Mum's death by seconds because of care home Covid rules' - BBC.com

Rhode Island man brings story of losing his mother during pandemic to stage – WJAR

November 8, 2023

Brian Mulhern's family and the loss of his mother are at the center of "The Butterfly Boys." (Provided to WJAR)

(WJAR)

A Rhode Island man is bringing his story about the loss of his mother during the COVID-19 pandemic to the stage.

Brian Mulhern is sharing his experience of loss during the pandemic and turning it into something he hopes everyone can relate to.

Sometimes its easy to forget what it was like, and I think its important for people to remember what it was like so we can appreciate what we have today, Mulhern said.

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Mulhern lost his mom during COVID-19 and had to make some difficult decisions.

The hoops that you had to jump through for something like that where one person from my family could be there when she passed. My dad had COVID, it couldn't be him. I had to be there. I was behind thick glass. I couldnt hold her hand. I couldnt say anything reassuring, Mulhern said.

He spent the year after her death turning the experience into a play. He calls it "The Butterfly Boys."

When my mom passed, my wife had to sit in the car in the hospital for 90 minutes and when I came out I told her that my mom had passed, she said what time was it and I said 4:12 p.m., and she said I knew because a butterfly landed on the windshield and I knew that was your mom telling us everything was going to be OK, Mulhern said.

Mulhern said the butterfly boys are his dad, his brother, and himself.

The play details the pandemic and the impact it had on so many families like the Mulherns.

Its really about love, loss, and family, and this thing where some fences are trying to be mended from the pre-COVID-19 era, because, as I said, families can get complicated, and then just trying to figure out how we are going to get through this difficult time and what is the future of our family from there, Mulhern said.

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Mark Camilli is playing the character based on Brian.

As an actor, he said its been great to be back to performing in front of a live audience.

You can see in the audience theyre just really happy to be back in spaces like that experiencing art, Camilli said.

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Mulhern said writing the play was therapeutic and helped with his grieving process, but as someone who has a background in comedy, he couldnt help but throw in a few laughs along the way.

There are some flashback scenes in the play where we get to see younger Brian and younger Kevin and there are some funny lines there where you explore their dynamic as a young family, Camilli said.

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Mulhern said he had his dad and brothers blessing to write and direct the play, but despite his best efforts, his dad has yet to read it.

He said, 'No, I want to see it as a full production when its finally running,' which is terrifying, Mulhern said. He said I dont want you changing anything for me.

You can see the play for the first time along with Brians dad starting Nov. 9-12.

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Rhode Island man brings story of losing his mother during pandemic to stage - WJAR

Around 14% of Americans Have Experienced Long COVID Symptoms – Drug Topics

November 8, 2023

A new study published in the journal PLOS ONE has found that 14% of Americans report having suffered from long COVID since the pandemic and that its incidence varies significantly among different regions of the country, sex, and ethnicity.1

Although long COVID has emerged as a major public health concern, it has not yet been clearly identified as a clinical condition. However, new research is continually helping to create a more comprehensive view of factors associated with the condition and its health consequences.

Little is known about long COVID and its impact on health and wellbeing, but there is a growing body of evidence that many people experience persistent and concerning symptoms, Alex Bryson, a co-author on the study, said in a release.2 Those who have ever had long COVID remain more likely to report low mood, challenges in carrying out daily tasks, and challenges with memory, concentration and understanding, compared to people who have never had long COVID.

Investigators from the University College of London conducted an observational study to review data on the prevalence of long COVID, its incidence, and the relationship between the condition and physical and mental health problems. Data was gathered from the US Census Bureaus Household Pulse Survey between June 2022 and December 2022.

The study cohort included 461550 Americans who filled out the survey, which was designed to obtain data on how peoples lives were impacted by COVID-19. The questionnaire consisted of 14 questions on topics like COVID-19 vaccinations, employment, education, food sufficiency, physical and mental health, and long COVID symptoms and impact.

Investigators found that 3 in 10 respondents who had COVID-19 went on to develop long COVID, which was defined as symptoms lasting longer than 3 months. Symptoms included fatigue, difficulty thinking, memory problems, muscle pain, and difficulty breathing. For those who had or currently have long COVID, 24% and 31% said that their symptoms were severe, respectively.

The incidence of long COVID was seen to vary significantly across the country. Only 11% of Americans in Hawaii suffered from the condition, compared to 18% in West Virginia. Additionally, long COVID impacted women more than men, was higher among Whites than Blacks or Asians, and declined with higher education and income.

Notwithstanding these new findings much remains to be learned about the nature, determinants and consequences of long COVID which will only be revealed in time with the advent of new data, the authors concluded. In particular, exploiting longitudinal data tracking individuals over time could be particularly informative since in the current study the cross-sectional nature of the data makes it hard to make causal inferences about the impact of Long COVID and the potential value of vaccinations.

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Around 14% of Americans Have Experienced Long COVID Symptoms - Drug Topics

In The Fight To End Tuberculosis, This Is The Moment For Progress – Forbes

November 8, 2023

Clinic, Nelli Solomonia, looks at results and communicates with a patient in the chest X-ray room of the clinic. Tserovani, Mtskheta-Mtianeti region, Georgia, on December 10, 2021. The mobile clinic provides active screening for six diseases: TB, COVID-19, Diabetes, HCV, HIV, Hypertension. The Global Fund

Tuberculosis is rarely in the spotlight. But behind the scenes its one of the top infectious killers in the world. In 2022 alone, TB killed over 1.3 million people, including 167,000 people with HIVthats a staggering 25,000 deaths every week. Despite being a treatable and curable disease, the TB incidence rate rose by 3.9% between 2020 and 2022. TB rivals Covid-19 as the worlds deadliest infectious disease, and is a greater threat to those living in the worlds poorest and most marginalized communities. TB isas it has always beenthe pandemic of the poor.

But today, we have reason to hope. After two years of devastating disruptions due to Covid-19, TB programs are getting back on track. There has been a dramatic recovery in the number of people diagnosed with and treated for TB, according to the 2023 World Tuberculosis Report released Tuesday by the World Health Organization. This surge in testing and treatment has reversed the catastrophic impact that Covid-19 had on the fight against TB. During the pandemic, in 2020 and 2021, the number of deaths from TB went up. In 2022, that trend was reversed.

That success has been driven by leadership, innovation and partnership. For instance, thanks to a robust national TB control program, India has significantly increased TB case notifications. Despite a greater TB burden than any other country, India has the ambition of ending TB by 2025, five years ahead of the 2030 Sustainable Development Goal target. Similarly, Nigeria has implemented innovative strategies, combining community health workers and accessible diagnostic tools to tackle the disease head-on. These examples serve as powerful reminders that, with determination and a coordinated response, we can make substantial progress against TB.

Drug-resistant TB poses a huge global health threat, with the power to fuel antimicrobial resistance worldwide. But treatment success rates are starting to improve, as advances in drug development have led to shorter and more effective treatment regimens. In a recent tender process by the Stop TB Partnerships Global Drug Facility, Johnson & Johnson agreed to reduce the price of bedaquiline by 55%, bringing the cost of the new six-month regimen to less than $500. Additionally, the GDF announced a 30% reduction in the price of the shorter three-month treatment to prevent TB (known as 3HP).

With better and more cost-effective treatments available, the key constraint is finding people with TB so that they can be treated and avoid infecting others. The greater availability of advanced molecular diagnostics and digital X-ray tools is having a transformational impact on being able to identify the people suffering with this terrible disease. Recent agreements between the Global Fund, TB partners including USAID and the Stop TB Partnership, and key diagnostic suppliers including Molbio and Cepheid will make it possible to conduct millions more high-quality TB tests. For example, the agreement between the Global Fund and Cepheids parent company, Danaher, to supply TB molecular test cartridges at cost, has resulted in a 20% price reduction for each cartridge.

These recent and very welcome price decreases will enable greater access to lifesaving diagnostic tests and put more people on treatment.

The Global Fund also recently announced a partnership with Siemens Healthineers to deploy AI tools enabling rapid and accurate interpretation of digital X-ray scans. Looking ahead, the Global Fund is actively engaged with partners including WHO, UNITAID, Gavi, the Vaccine Alliance, the Stop TB Partnership and others to prepare for deploying a prospective new TB vaccine.

The innovations and investments made to fight TB have huge benefits for pandemic preparedness and lay the foundations for universal health coverage. TB programs investments in molecular diagnostic capabilities, disease surveillance systems, respiratory treatment pathways, contact tracing expertise and rigorous infection prevention and control measures played a big role in many countries responses to Covid-19 and are critical to protecting against future threats. TB programs focus on reaching the poorest and most vulnerable, ensuring health services reach even the most marginalized, creates a platform for truly universal health coverage.

At the same time, we must also confront a difficult reality. The world missed most of the targets set at the UN High-level Meeting on the fight against tuberculosis in 2018, and we are still far off track to reach the Sustainable Development Goal target of ending TB by 2030. At the most recent UN High-level Meeting on the fight against tuberculosis in September 2023, world leaders renewed their commitment to ending this disease for good. But for this to happen, we must act now to change the trajectory.

By stepping up our efforts to fight TB, improving access to TB prevention, testing and care, and taking full advantage of the latest innovations and price decreases, we will not only save millions of lives and bring an end to one of the deadliest diseases humanity has ever confronted, but well also build a more pandemic-resilient world and accelerate the path to universal health coverage. Investing to fight TB works and has an extraordinary impact. Lets seize that opportunity with both hands.

Ive been the Executive Director of the Global Fund, a worldwide partnership to defeat HIV, tuberculosis and malaria and ensure a healthier, safer, more equitable future for all, since 2018. After serving as CEO of Standard Chartered PLC, I was a research fellow at the Harvard Global Health Institute and the Mossavar-Rahmani Center for Business and Government at Harvard Kennedy School, working on research projects in financial markets and regulation, fintech and global health. Im also a member of the U.S. National Academy of Sciences Forum on Microbial Threats and Committee on Ensuring Access to Affordable Drugs.

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In The Fight To End Tuberculosis, This Is The Moment For Progress - Forbes

COVID-19 testing: a 2023 update – Therapeutic Guidelines

November 8, 2023

We need to keep an eye on which lineages are circulating, so that if there's a sudden rise in a particular emergent strain, or an increase in severity is noted, that we know what's going on and we know early.

[Music] Welcome to the Australian Prescriber Podcast. Australian Prescriber, independent, peer-reviewed, and free.

COVID testing used to dominate our lives. It was one of the most visible cornerstones of an intensive test, trace, and isolate public health strategy in 2020 and 2021 especially. Perhaps rarely, if never before, had infectious diseases testing been so prominent in our society. However, since that time at the beginning of the COVID pandemic, our understanding of COVID testing strategies has become more sophisticated. But where do we stand now in terms of practice, and what can we learn from it? I'm David Liew, your host for today, and we're back with the Australian Prescriber Podcast. I'm very glad to welcome Ella Meumann to the podcast today. She's an infectious diseases physician, and she's written an article in Australian Prescriber on Testing for COVID-19: the 2023 Update. Ella, thanks for joining us.

Thanks for having me on the show.

So Ella, before we really get into this, let's just take a step back and ask, what's happening with COVID now, especially regarding variants of concern?

To recap, for the first couple of years of the pandemic, the case numbers in Australia were low, until our borders opened towards the end of 2021, at around the time of the Omicron wave. And since that time we've had widespread community transmission in Australia, with several waves arising from the various Omicron sublineages. This year we did have an increase in cases in May, so early winter, not quite winter, but a gradual decline since then. Since the start of the pandemic, genomic surveillance for SARS-CoV-2 has been conducted through AusTrakka and the Communicable Diseases Genomics Network, a national public health laboratory group, and they've been tracking emerging variants. So since the borders opened, the various Omicron sublineages have dominated, and more recently there's been the emergence of several recombinant sublineages, and these are lineages arising from the exchange of chunks of genetic material between strains, and these recombinant lineages are now dominating.

So which sublineages are particularly a problem right now, and where do they stand compared to the sublineages that we were looking at before?

There are several of these designated by the Pango designation, which is a nomenclature system for SARS-CoV-2 lineages and sublineages. And the ones that are circulating now begin with the letters XBB, and then various numbers depending on the sublineage. So there are several so-called variants of interest as assigned by the WHO, such as XBB.1.5, XBB.1.16, and EG.5, which is an XBB descendant, that are circulating.

So the sublineages, why does that matter to us?

Genomic surveillance is important because we need to keep an eye on which lineages are circulating, so that if there's a sudden rise in a particular emergent strain, or an increase in severity is noted, that we know what's going on and we know early.

It's often said, if we don't look then we won't know.

That's exactly right.

Let's talk about things at a patient level first, and then we'll get onto the genomics. Rapid antigen tests. They've become the mainstay of our approach to COVID testing. Tell me a little bit about them. Should we still be relying on them? How effective are they with the current sublineages?

Rapid antigen tests were a really important tool, particularly around the time the borders opened when case numbers were very high and laboratory PCR testing capacity, or nucleic acid amplification testing capacity, was saturated. And so these provided a way in which people in the community could test themselves and have a result within 15 to 30 minutes and be able to enact an appropriate treatment or public health response to having been diagnosed. So particularly at that time, they were vital.

They do have some limitations. The sensitivity of these rapid antigen tests is lower than for nucleic acid amplification tests or PCR tests. Patients with very early infection may be negative and may require repeat testing in 24 to 48 hours, or a nucleic acid amplification test as a more sensitive test to confirm the result. These days with lower case numbers, there is laboratory capacity for PCR or nucleic acid amplification testing, and being a more sensitive test than RAT, where it's feasible, that's a better test to do.

So maybe you can tell us a little bit about why rapid antigen tests have inferior sensitivity to PCR testing. Does that have to do with the way that we collect the tests, or is it really something a bit more technical than that?

It's to do with the nature of the assays themselves. So a nucleic acid amplification test, in a general sense, these are very sensitive assays. They detect the genetic material, so either the RNA or DNA, in a clinical specimen, and they're able to detect very small amounts of the material. What they do is, following DNA or RNA extraction, there's a series of thermal cycles which result in amplification and then detection of the assay target. Whereas a rapid antigen test, that's detecting an antigen component of the virus itself through a lateral flow immunoassay, and so it's detected visually. And there's no amplification of material as part of that step, and so it's a less sensitive approach, but still has reasonable sensitivity. To be eligible for registration on the TGA, the last I looked, the minimum sensitivity compared to a nucleic acid amplification test required for registration was at least 80%. So not too bad, but they will miss some cases.

I'm glad that we've got greater accessibility to PCR testing now. And what you've said really makes a lot of sense in terms of trying to understand cycle thresholds and other things that we've started to become familiar with as we've had better access to PCR testing.

Yeah, that's true. So I mentioned the nature of PCR tests is through a number of thermal cycles that result in amplification of the gene target. The cycle threshold is the first one of those cycles at which the PCR product is first detected. So the higher the amount of pathogen genetic material in the specimen, the lower the cycle threshold will be. So it's inversely related to the viral load, essentially.

These cycle thresholds vary between PCR assays. There's a huge number of PCR assays out there, each with different gene targets, and the cycle thresholds aren't comparable between assays. And that's why we don't report those in our pathology reports for PCR tests. However, they can provide some helpful information sometimes. A very high cycle threshold, for example, 35 cycles or higher, that could either indicate very early infection, or it could indicate persistent low-level shedding of non-viable viral fragments following an infection. And that can occur for a number of weeks following acute infection.

So if you have a PCR result that's positive with a very high cycle threshold, the recommendation would be to repeat that test in the following 24 to 48 hours. If there's a drop in cycle threshold, that would be consistent with acute infection. However, if it's persistently very high, then that could indicate potentially past infection. However, these results need to be interpreted in the clinical and epidemiologic context, in terms of the patient's symptoms, their comorbidities, and so forth. So there's not really a hard and fast rule for interpreting these, and they're not routinely reported.

So overall, this lab-based nucleic acid amplification testing, PCR testing, when should we be using this clinically? What role does it play in our clinical armamentaria?

PCR testing or nucleic acid amplification testing is the most sensitive method to diagnose COVID-19, and would be the recommended test for patients in hospital for high-risk contacts or healthcare workers, where there are serious consequences if you miss a diagnosis so, for example, where there might be a false-negative RAT.

Often it gets suggested that patients who have negative rapid antigen tests should have a PCR done if they've got really obvious symptoms, if they've got clinically evident infection. What do you think of that strategy, and do you think that's something that we'd be carrying with us as we go forward?

If a patient is suspected to have COVID-19 and they have a negative RAT, then ideally you should do a PCR test or a nucleic acid amplification test to confirm that result. An alternative strategy, if a nucleic acid amplification test isn't available, would be to repeat the RAT in 24 to 48 hours.

One of the other advantages of a PCR test is that we can get genomic data, which we obviously can't get from rapid antigen testing. How widespread is genomic testing in everyday PCR testing, and how much should we be doing?

That is one consideration. In the first two years of the pandemic, a very large proportion of COVID-19 cases had a specimen sent for genomic sequencing, and that's because at that time we were tracking and tracing every case, whereas once the borders opened, there wasn't the capacity to sequence all cases. And so a genomic sequencing strategy was developed by the Communicable Diseases Genomics Network, prioritising cases with severe disease, cases with reinfection or recurrent infection or persistent infection, returned travellers, and also outbreak investigations. These are the priority specimens, and there's ongoing genomic surveillance as we discussed earlier, tracking the variants and so forth.

That brings me on to this discussion about other winter viruses as well. We're increasingly in a world where a patient might present with symptoms that could easily be not just COVID but influenza or other winter viruses. Seems like we're looking at testing which can increasingly capture all of those in a single swab.

Yeah, that's right. So for the first couple of years of the pandemic, other viruses, particularly influenza A and influenza B, disappeared essentially altogether. However, once the borders reopened, as you would expect, these viruses re-emerged, and have been circulating over the last 2 winters. Most laboratories offer multiplex nucleic acid amplification testing, which are assays able to detect a number of viral pathogens, and some also include bacterial pathogens as well. And this allows syndromic diagnosis and identification of the most common viral pathogens with just one test. So these have been recommended the last couple of winters. More recently, there have been some rapid antigen tests for influenza A and B approved by the TGA. Similar to the test for SARS-CoV-2, there are some minimum performance requirements, such that they have to have minimum sensitivity and specificity. However, as for SARS-CoV-2, they are less accurate than the nucleic acid amplification tests.

We've had influenza for a long time, but we haven't had rapid antigen tests for influenza until now. Is this something that we've learned from our COVID experience? Im sure there are a number of things that we've learned from our COVID experience that might be applicable to other winter viruses.

The COVID-19 pandemic really was an exceptional situation, and there have been a number of lessons learned around implementation of diagnostic testing and scaling of diagnostic testing for respiratory viruses. I think one of the keys to successful management of the pandemic was the early availability of the full genome sequence of SARS-CoV-2, which enabled the design of nucleic acid amplification tests. And so we had sensitive and specific tests available from very early on. Australia's lucky that we have a really robust regulatory system for pathology testing. However, there were appropriate provisions made for emergency development and rollout of tests, and the existence of the Public Health Laboratory Network and Communicable Diseases Genomics Network enabled sharing of expertise, sharing of control material for test validation and development, development of a quality assurance program for comparison of laboratory performance. And this really was key to us being able to diagnose and trace those early cases and control the pandemic.

From a genomics perspective, the infrastructure for genomic sequencing had been in development at the various public health laboratories. The AusTrakka platform, which is used for genomic sequence sharing, was in development, and the pandemic accelerated that, and it was rolled out from very early on, enabling inter-jurisdictional data sharing. So all of this was vital for our test, trace, and isolate approach to public health management.

However, at the time that the borders opened in late 2021 and with that Omicron wave, that's when the rapid antigen testing really became important, and the ability for patients to test themselves, and having the regulatory framework that enabled TGA registration of those tests, rolling those out meant that we were able to continue diagnosing cases even when the laboratory and nucleic acid amplification testing capacity had been reached. Since that time, as case numbers have dropped, I think the rapid antigen tests are potentially a little bit less important, but they still have a role.

Where antigen testing for other viruses fits in the scheme of things, I think its still not 100% clear, because at the end of the day, the nucleic acid amplification tests are more sensitive and a better test really for diagnosing those viruses, if it's available.

Let me take a little pivot there and ask you about something which is quicker than a conventional lab-based PCR, but is obviously more sensitive than a rapid antigen test, and that's point-of-care nucleic acid amplification testing. Have we learned a little bit about how we might use that kind of technology better? Has that technology advanced during the COVID pandemic? And do you think that fits into our overall long-term strategy?

That's a really important point. Certainly point-of-care tests for SARS-CoV-2 were important in some settings, particularly emergency departments and remote clinics, for example. So that assisted with infection control decisions in emergency departments, where there were limited single rooms or negative pressure rooms, for example, and also for remote clinics where there's a delay in testing associated with specimen transport. Having sensitive and specific nucleic acid amplification tests that were easy to use, but importantly operated under the NPAAC [National Pathology Accreditation Advisory Council] governance requirements for point-of-care tests, so still with important quality measures in place, having those point-of-care tests available was really helpful and I think did prevent transmission in some instances.

It sounds like we've learned a lot about testing for viral respiratory infections throughout the COVID experience so far. Do you think that this really informs a way that we deal with the next viral respiratory infection epidemic or pandemic?

I think definitely. What we've learned is the importance of rapid development and rollout of high-quality diagnostic tests, but with appropriate quality management of that testing in place is really important for being able to diagnose cases, and then subsequently enact the appropriate public health response.

I'm very glad that you and your colleagues are doing the great work that you are. So thank you so much, and thank you for joining us on the podcast today.

Thanks so much.

[Music]

The views of the guests and the hosts on this podcast are their own and may not represent Australian Prescriber or Therapeutic Guidelines. I'm David Liew, and once again, thank you for joining us on the Australian Prescriber Podcast. [This interview was conducted on 28 August 2023.]

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COVID-19 testing: a 2023 update - Therapeutic Guidelines

Last season’s bronchiolitis hospitalizations higher than pre-pandemic rates – Healio

November 8, 2023

November 02, 2023

3 min read

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Compared with the median bronchiolitis admission rate before the COVID-19 pandemic, hospitalizations among children increased during the 2022 to 2023 season, according to results published in JAMA Network Open.

Jonathan H. Pelletier

At the bedside, this means that clinicians at childrens hospitals, and particularly those who work in the ICU, can expect to continue to see disproportionate numbers of bronchiolitis admissions, Jonathan H. Pelletier, MD, assistant professor of pediatrics at Northeast Ohio Medical University and pediatric intensivist at Akron Childrens Hospital, told Healio. Without changes to the health care system or clinical workflows, there is a meaningful chance that this will result in recurrent pediatric bed shortages in the fall and winter, similar to what we saw in 2022.

In a retrospective cross-sectional study of 41 U.S. childrens hospitals, Pelletier and colleagues evaluated 400,801 admissions for bronchiolitis (n = 349,609; median age, 6 months; 58.7% boys; 43.7% white) in children aged younger than 2 years between July 2010 and June 2023, to find out how admissions have changed from before the COVID-19 pandemic (2010-2011, 2019-2020) to during the pandemic (2020-2021, 2022-2023).

Prior to COVID-19, the median number of yearly bronchiolitis hospitalizations was 29,309.

Compared with this number, admissions for bronchiolitis dropped by 69.2% (n = 9,030) between 2020 and 2021, whereas the 2022 to 2023 season showed a 75.3% (n = 51,397) rise in admissions.

This wasn't a masking study, but it's really worth noting that masking and social distancing in 2020 were remarkably effective in nearly eliminating bronchiolitis in 2020, Pelletier told Healio. The cost of that was increased admissions this past year, as a larger-than-normal volume of previously unexposed children contracted these viruses.

During 2022 to 2023, researchers observed an increase in hospital days by 47.1%, ICU days by 45.2% and inflation-adjusted hospitalization costs by $375.6 million compared with medians before the pandemic.

Further, researchers found several significant differences between patients hospitalized before vs. during the pandemic, including age (6 months vs. 7 months), the number of patients admitted to the ICU (32.2% vs. 36.7%), the number of patients receiving noninvasive ventilation (6.8% vs. 9.4%), the number of patients receiving invasive mechanical ventilation (6.8% vs. 5.3%) and inflation-adjusted costs per admission (median, $9,439 vs. $9,760).

Using forecasts based on monthly admission counts from before the pandemic, researchers found differences in seasonality of admissions during the pandemic.

Before COVID-19, bronchiolitis admissions peaked in December through February, but peak seasons during the pandemic were August and November. The forecast predicted 943 admissions during August 2021, but the actual number of admissions was 5,036. Similarly, more hospitalizations for bronchiolitis occurred in November 2022 than what was forecasted (10,120 vs. 5,268).

Even after factoring out children with complex chronic conditions and repeat admissions in two sensitivity analyses, researchers continued to observe the same results outlined above.

Notably, among those aged younger than 5 years, admissions for bronchiolitis and viral pneumonia increased from 35,623 before the pandemic to 66,767 in the 2022 to 2023 season. Based on age, the group with the largest increase in admissions was 24- to 59-month-olds, with 5,169 admissions before COVID-19 and 13,973 during the pandemic.

While I had expected the incidence of bronchiolitis to increase transiently due to decreased herd immunity from masking, the magnitude of the change was larger than I expected, Pelletier told Healio. This difference was especially profound in the sensitivity analysis including toddlers aged 2 to 5 years. Admissions in this group increased by more than 50%, which really reinforces the herd immunity hypothesis.

Historically, we havent included these children as having bronchiolitis, though its clinically debatable whether an RSV infection in a 3-year-old is meaningfully different than RSV infection in a 1-year-old, he added.

Pelletier told Healio future studies should evaluate how these trends impact other factors.

This study continues to sound the alarm that ICU admissions for bronchiolitis are rising and are contributing to critical pediatric bed shortages, Pelletier said. My hope would be that future studies will examine whether these trends are related to changes in viral respiratory illness, care practices or both. I also hope to see studies of broader applications of RSV vaccines in infants and pregnant women to reduce the burden of hospitalization.

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Disclosures: Pelletier reports receiving grants from the National Institute of Child Health and Human Development outside the study. Please see the study for all other authors relevant financial disclosures.

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Last season's bronchiolitis hospitalizations higher than pre-pandemic rates - Healio

VDH: COVID cases and hospitalizations hold steady, low – Vermont Biz

November 8, 2023

by Timothy McQuiston, Vermont Business Magazine COVID-19 cases and hospitalizations were down slightly last week, but they have remained steady since late August. Fatalities also continue at a steady rate, with another 6 last week for a pandemic total of 1,050, as of October 21 (the most recent data available). The CDC released a new vaccine booster in October.

The Vermont Department of Health reported November 1, 2023, that COVID-19 hospitalizations fell to a statewide total of 30, down from 31 last week. COVID-19 activity remains in the "Low" range, according to the VDH. Reported cases last week were 217, down from 220. Cases were over 300 in late September.

VDH reported 15 COVID-related deaths in March, 20 in April, 10 in May, 10 in June (these are fewest since the summer of 2021), 11 in July, 15 in August, 17 in September, and 21 in October (there were 33 in October 2022 and 47 in October 2021 and zero in October 2020, which was the last month since the beginning of the pandemic to record no COVID-related fatalities).

CDC states that already an estimated 97% of Americans have some level of immunity, from either vaccination or infection or both, which they said will help keep down new transmission and lessen serious outcomes.

Of the total deaths to date, 840 have been of Vermonters 70 or older. There have been 3 deaths of Vermonters under 30 since the beginning of the pandemic.

(see data below)

Report Timeframe: October 22 to October 28, 2023

The hospitalizations dataset contains day-level data reported from all Vermont hospitals each Tuesday. Reported numbers are subject to correction.

The number of reportable COVID-19 cases is still available in this report, below. Laboratory-confirmed and diagnosed COVID-19 cases and COVID-19 outbreaks must still be reported to the Vermont Department of Health. There were 3 outbreaks last week, 1 at schools and 1 at long-term care facilities.

Vermont Department of Health recommendations: Preventing COVID-19 (healthvermont.gov)

Vermont has the second lowest fatality rate in the US (121 per 100K; Hawaii 100.6/100K). Mississippi (432.5/100K) and Oklahoma (429.3/100K) have the highest rates. The US average is 288.2/100K (CDC data).

There has been a total of 1,151,435 COVID-related deaths to date in the US (CDC) and 6,977,023 globally (WHO).

Following an analysis of COVID-19 data, the VDH reported in early January a cumulative 86 additional COVID-associated deaths that occurred over the course of the pandemic but had not been previously reported. Most of those deaths occurred in 2022.

COVID-19 Update for the United States

Early Indicators

Test Positivity

% Test Positivity

9.0%

(October 22 to October 28, 2023)

Trend in % Test Positivity

No change in most recent week

Emergency Department Visits

% Diagnosed as COVID-19

1.2%

(October 22 to October 28, 2023)

Trend in % Emergency Department Visits

-5.3% in most recent week

These early indicators represent a portion of national COVID-19 tests and emergency department visits. Wastewater information also provides early indicators of spread.

Severity Indicators

Hospitalizations

Hospital Admissions

15,745

(October 22 to October 28, 2023)

Trend in Hospital Admissions

+0.1% in most recent week

Deaths

% of All Deaths in U.S. Due to COVID-19

2.5%

(October 22 to October 28, 2023)

Trend in % COVID-19 Deaths

No change in most recent week

Total Hospitalizations

6,452,832

CDC | Test Positivity data through: October 28, 2023; Emergency Department Visit data through: October 28, 2023; Hospitalization data through: October 28, 2023; Death data through: October 28, 2023. Posted: November 6, 2023 3:32 PM ET

The Delta variant took off in August 2021, which resulted in the heaviest number of deaths before vaccines and their boosters helped alleviate serious COVID cases. Multiple Omicron variants are now circulating and appear more virulent than previous variants, but perhaps not more dangerous, according to the CDC.

AP April 5, 2023: WHO downgrades COVID pandemic, says it's no longer a global health emergency

Walk-in vaccination clinics run by the state closed on January 31, 2023. Learn more

Vermonters are reminded that all state COVID testing sites were closed as of June 25, 2022. PCR and take-home tests are available through doctors' offices, pharmacies and via mail from the federal government. The federal government officially ended its pandemic response as of May 11, 2023. See more information BELOW or here: https://www.healthvermont.gov/covid-19/testing.

Starting May 11, 2023, the CDC and Vermont Department of Health will no longer use the COVID-19 Community Level to measure COVID-19 activity in the U.S. and Vermont. Instead, Vermont's statewide COVID-19 level will be measured by the rate of COVID-19 in people being admitted to the hospital, per 100,000 residents.

Focusing on hospitalization data is a better estimate of how COVID-19 is impacting the community now that reported COVID-19 cases represent a smaller proportion of actual infections. This also allows us to compare Vermonts hospitalization levels with other parts of the country.

The Delta variant caused a surge in COVID-related fatalities last fall and into the winter.

The highest concentration of deaths was from September 2021 through February 2022. Overall, December 2020 and January 2022 were the worst months with 72 fatalities each.

The US confirmed its first case of COVID-19 on January 20, 2020.

Vermonters ages 6 months and older are eligible for COVID-19 vaccines. Getting vaccinated against COVID-19 is the safer way to build protection from serious illnesseven for those who have already had COVID-19. Learn more about COVID-19 vaccines (CDC)

COVID-19 vaccines are free and widely available. Anyone can get vaccinated in Vermont, including those who live in another state, are non-U.S. citizens, or who have no insurance. See Vermont's current vaccine rates

Know your rights when getting free vaccines.

You are considered up-to-date if you are over the age of 6 years old and have received a bivalent (updated) COVID-19 vaccine.Learn more about kid vaccines

If you are unable or choose not to get a recommended bivalent mRNA vaccine, you will be up to date if you received the Novavax COVID-19 vaccine doses approved for your age group.

Find more on recommended doses from CDC

COVID Vaccine Information for Health Care Professionals

More on COVID-19 Vaccines (CDC)

Recommended COVID Vaccine Doses (CDC)

Find a COVID-19 vaccine near you.

Image

Use Vaccines.gov to find a location near you, then call or visit the location's website to make an appointment.

Vaccines.gov

Everyone 6 months of age and older is eligible to get a COVID-19 vaccination.Most children are also now eligible for a bivalent dose that offers increased protection against the original strain and omicron variants.

See more on recommended vaccine doses by age group (CDC)

Resources for parents and caregivers

Confident Care for Kids

Tips for Helping Kids Feel Ready for Any Vaccine (Vermont Family Network)

#factsheet

What Families with Children Should Know About COVID-19 Vaccines (translated)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lWcqHOgQIVg&t=5s

Conversations About COVID-19 Vaccines for Children with Vermont Pediatricians (American Academy of Pediatrics)

If you cannot get vaccines through any of the options above, our local health offices

offer immunization clinics by appointment.

Need a ride? If you do not have transportation to get a free COVID-19 vaccine or booster, please contact your local public transportation provider or callVermont Public Transportation Association (VPTA)

at 833-387-7200.

English language learners, or immigrant or refugee community members, who would like to learn about more about vaccine clinics can contact theAssociation of Africans Living in Vermont

(AALV) at 802-985-3106.

If you lost your vaccine card or your information is wrong:

Recommendations for keeping your vaccination card and record up to date

Find more COVID-19 translations

COVID-19 resources for people who are deaf and hard of hearing

Report your COVID-19 test results

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VDH: COVID cases and hospitalizations hold steady, low - Vermont Biz

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