Category: Corona Virus

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N.J. reports 1,744 COVID cases, 4 deaths. Rate of transmission increases for first time in more than a month. – NJ.com

September 13, 2021

New Jersey on Sunday reported 1,744 confirmed COVID-19 cases and four new deaths. It was the lowest number of reported daily deaths in more than two weeks. However, the state also saw its rate of transmission increase for the first time in more than a month.

The Garden States seven-day average for newly confirmed positive tests is 1,728, which is 1.5% higher than a week ago and 32.5% higher from this time last month.

All of New Jerseys 21 counties are listed as having high rates of coronavirus transmission, according to the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. The CDC is recommending people in all 21 counties wear masks for indoor public settings regardless of vaccination rates.

There were 1,104 patients hospitalized with COVID-19 or suspected cases across New Jerseys 71 hospitals Saturday night 22 fewer than Thursday night. There were 165 patients discharged from hospitals Saturday.

Of those hospitalized, 234 were in intensive care (11 fewer than a day earlier), with 119 on ventilators (six fewer).

New Jerseys statewide rate of transmission on Sunday rose for the first time since July, increasing to 1 from .99 the previous day and 1.01 on Friday. Throughout the month of August, the rate of transmission either remained the same or declined, but did not increase. Any rate of transmission number over 1 indicates that each new case is leading to more than one additional case and shows the states outbreak is expanding.

The positivity rate for tests conducted on Tuesday, the most recent day available, was 4.8%. The positivity rate on weekends tends to be higher due to fewer tests being conducted.

An early coronavirus hotspot, New Jersey has reported a total of 27,058 deaths, including 24,309 confirmed fatalities and 2,749 considered probable. Thats the most coronavirus deaths per capita in the United States.

With the incredibly infectious delta variant spreading throughout the state, that number is likely to increase. The highly contagious COVID-19 strain accounted for more than 98% of cases sampled for a four-week span ending Aug. 21. In the final week of that time period, 99.7% of cases sampled were the delta variant.

At least 8,485 of the states COVID-19 deaths have been among residents and staff members at nursing homes and other long-term care facilities, according to state data.

New Jersey is now reporting more than 5.69 million people who live, work or study in the state have been fully vaccinated. More than 6.2 million people have received at least one dose as the state prepares to administer third doses and booster shots to those fully vaccinated in the coming months, pending approval from the federal government.

The vaccine mandate announced by Biden on Thursday calls for all employers with more than 100 workers to require them to be vaccinated or test for the virus weekly, affecting about 80 million Americans. And the roughly 17 million workers at health facilities that receive federal Medicare or Medicaid also will have to be fully vaccinated.

There are active outbreaks at 151 long-term care facilities in New Jersey, resulting in 571 active cases among residents and 488 among staffers. Those numbers have continued to rise in recent weeks.

In all, the state of 9.2 million residents has reported 972,729 total confirmed cases out of the more than 15.1 million PCR tests conducted since it announced its first case March 4, 2020. The state has also reported 144,777 positive antigen tests, which are considered probable cases.

As of Sunday, there have been more than 224 million positive COVID-19 cases reported across the globe, according to Johns Hopkins University, with more than 4.6 million people having died due to the virus. The U.S. has reported the most cases (more than 40.9 million) and deaths (more than 659,696) than any other nation.

More than 5.6 billion vaccine doses have been administered globally.

Thank you for relying on us to provide the journalism you can trust. Please consider supporting NJ.com with a voluntary subscription.

Jackie Roman may be reached at jroman@njadvancemedia.com.

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N.J. reports 1,744 COVID cases, 4 deaths. Rate of transmission increases for first time in more than a month. - NJ.com

Coronavirus spread remains stubbornly high in these Oregon ZIP codes – oregonlive.com

September 13, 2021

Low-vaccinated communities continue to lead the state in weekly coronavirus case rates, an analysis by The Oregonian/OregonLive found, underscoring how the delta variant is devouring the unvaccinated.

Oregon has seen cases fall from record levels set earlier this month. But new and presumed infections remain high, and the communities hardest hit continue to be almost exclusively in vaccine-resistant southern Oregon.

The ZIP code for Myrtle Creek in Douglas County led all of Oregon in coronavirus case rates for the week ending Wednesday, among ZIP codes with at least 40 new cases.

The area recorded 103 new or presumed infections per 10,000 residents, roughly double the worst rate for a community in the Portland area.

The vaccination rate in the Myrtle Creek ZIP code? A staggeringly small 38.2% among residents of all ages, far below the statewide average of 62.4%.

In fact, 11 of the 12 ZIP codes with the highest weekly case rates are all well below the statewide average for people at least partially vaccinated. Only the ZIP code for Lincoln City, along the Oregon coast, surpassed the statewide vaccination mark.

ZIP codes in southern Oregons Douglas and Josephine counties accounted for eight of the dozen areas with the highest weekly case rates. The ZIP codes generally run along the Interstate 5 corridor, including Roseburg, Grants Pass, Sutherlin and Winston.

Vaccination rates in each of those eight areas is below 50%.

While both ZIP codes for Grants Pass made the list of jurisdictions with the highest case rates, one of those, the 97526 ZIP code, led all of Oregon in total new cases regardless of population. It posted 256 cases for the week ending Wednesday, more than double the highest total from a ZIP code in the Portland area.

The list of ZIP codes with high new cases also skews heavy along I-5 in southern Oregon, including Medford, Roseburg, but it also includes parts of Salem. And it features Bend and Redmond in central Oregon, too.

State health officials for months have been saying the summer surge is a pandemic of the unvaccinated, and Oregons record-breaking case counts flooded hospitals. More people with COVID-19 died in August than in all but two other months of the pandemic, and September could be worse.

Officials for the Oregon Health Authority did not respond to a request for comment to the newsrooms analysis comparing case rates with vaccination rates. But Patrick Allen, the agencys director, released a separate statement Thursday about the states mounting death toll, saying it marks a failure of our collective responsibility to take care of each other.

He said Oregonians could prevent more people from dying by taking simple steps to stop COVID-19 from spreading.

The COVID-19 vaccines are extremely safe and effective at preventing serious illness and death from the virus, including the delta variant, he said in the statement. I urge every Oregonian who can to get vaccinated and wear your masks when youre in public places inside and outdoors.

-- Brad Schmidt; bschmidt@oregonian.com; 503-294-7628; @_brad_schmidt

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Coronavirus spread remains stubbornly high in these Oregon ZIP codes - oregonlive.com

Coronavirus (COVID-19) Update: September 10, 2021 | FDA – FDA.gov

September 11, 2021

For Immediate Release: September 10, 2021

The U.S. Food and Drug Administration today announced the following actions taken in its ongoing response effort to the COVID-19 pandemic:

The FDA recognizes the increased demand for certain products during the COVID-19 public health emergency and has prioritized the review of generic drug applications for potential treatments and supportive therapies for patients with COVID-19. We remain deeply committed to facilitating access to safe and effective medical products to help address critical needs of the American public.

The FDA issued this guidance so that the development of generic drugs and submission of applications can continue during the COVID-19 public health emergency, ultimately helping ensure Americans continue to have access to safe and effective generic drugs.

###

Boilerplate

The FDA, an agency within the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, protects the public health by assuring the safety, effectiveness, and security of human and veterinary drugs, vaccines and other biological products for human use, and medical devices. The agency also is responsible for the safety and security of our nations food supply, cosmetics, dietary supplements, products that give off electronic radiation, and for regulating tobacco products.

09/10/2021

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Coronavirus (COVID-19) Update: September 10, 2021 | FDA - FDA.gov

Coronavirus in Illinois: 26,062 New COVID Cases, 197 Deaths, 143K Vaccinations in the Past Week – NBC Chicago

September 11, 2021

Illinois health officials on Friday reported 26,062 new COVID-19 cases in the past week, along with 197 additional deaths and over 143,000 new vaccine doses administered.

In all, 1,564,386 cases of coronavirus have been reported in the state since the pandemic began, according to the latest data from the Illinois Department of Public Health. The additional deaths reported this week bring the state to 24,261 confirmed COVID fatalities.

The state has administered 578,943 tests since last Friday, officials said, bringing the total to more than 29.7 million tests conducted during the pandemic.

The states seven-day positivity rate on all tests dropped to 4.5% from 5% last week, which was up from 5.7% the week before, officials said. The rolling average seven-day positivity rate for cases as a percentage of total tests also dropped to 5.1% from 5.4% the week before.

Over the past seven days, a total of 143,596doses of the coronavirus vaccine have been administered to Illinois residents - down from around 185,000 the week before. The latest figures brought the states average down to 20,514 daily vaccination doses over the last week, per IDPH data.

More than 14.1 million vaccine doses have been administered in Illinois since vaccinations began in December. More than 62% of adult residents in the state are fully vaccinated against COVID-19, with more than 79% receiving at least one dose.

As of midnight Thursday, 2,346 patients were hospitalized due to COVID in the state. Of those patients, 549 are in ICU beds, and 311 are on ventilators.

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Coronavirus in Illinois: 26,062 New COVID Cases, 197 Deaths, 143K Vaccinations in the Past Week - NBC Chicago

Public Health Officials Announce 26,062 New Cases of Coronavirus Disease Over the Past Week | IDPH – IDPH

September 11, 2021

More than 79% of Illinois adults have received at least one vaccine dose and more than 62% are fully vaccinated

SPRINGFIELD The Illinois Department of Public Health (IDPH) today reported 26,062 new confirmed and probable cases of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) in Illinois, including 197 additional deaths since reporting last Friday, September 3, 2021. More than 79% of Illinois adults have received at least one COVID-19 vaccine dose and more than 62% of Illinois adults are fully vaccinated, according to data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Of Illinois total population, more than 66% has received at least one COVID-19 vaccine dose and more than 51% of Illinois total population is fully vaccinated.

Currently, IDPH is reporting a total of 1,564,386 cases, including 24,261 deaths, in 102 counties in Illinois. The age of cases ranges from younger than one to older than 100 years. Since reporting on Friday, September 3, 2021, laboratories have reported 578,943 specimens for a total of 29,756,833. As of last night, 2,346 individuals in Illinois were reported to be in the hospital with COVID-19. Of those, 549 patients were in the ICU and 311 patients with COVID-19 were on ventilators.

The preliminary seven-day statewide positivity for cases as a percent of total test from September 3-9, 2021 is 4.5%. The preliminary seven-day statewide test positivity from September 3-9, 2021 is 5.1%.

A total of 14,149,453 vaccines have been administered in Illinois as of last midnight. The seven-day rolling average of vaccines administered daily is 20,514 doses. Since reporting on Friday, September 3, 2021, 143,596 doses were reported administered in Illinois.

*All data are provisional and will change. Additional information and COVID-19 data can be found at http://www.dph.illinois.gov/covid19.

Vaccination is the key to ending this pandemic. To find a COVID-19 vaccination location near you, go to http://www.vaccines.gov.

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Public Health Officials Announce 26,062 New Cases of Coronavirus Disease Over the Past Week | IDPH - IDPH

COVID-19: What you need to know about the coronavirus pandemic on 10 September – World Economic Forum

September 11, 2021

Confirmed cases of COVID-19 have passed 223.1 million globally, according to Johns Hopkins University. The number of confirmed deaths stands at more than 4.6 million. More than 5.6 billion vaccination doses have been administered globally, according to Our World in Data.

Viet Nam plans to reopen the resort island of Phu Quoc to foreign tourists from next month.

The US Transportation Security Authority is doubling fines for first-time offenders who fail to wear masks. Repeat offenders could face fines as high as $3,000.

Australia's new confirmed daily COVID-19 cases topped 1,900 for the first time in the pandemic on Friday.

Moderna announced yesterday it is working on a single vaccine that combines a booster dose against COVID-19 with its experimental flu shot.

The Italian government has expanded the list of jobs where proof of COVID-19 immunity is required, extending mandatory vaccination and the use of the so-called 'Green Pass'.

Japan has extended emergency COVID-19 restrictions in Tokyo and other regions until the next of this month.

Los Angeles County school officials have voted to mandate COVID-19 vaccines for all students aged 12 and over - the largest school district in the US to take the step.

Each of our Top 50 social enterprise last mile responders and multi-stakeholder initiatives is working across four priority areas of need: Prevention and protection; COVID-19 treatment and relief; inclusive vaccine access; and securing livelihoods. The list was curated jointly with regional hosts Catalyst 2030s NASE and Aavishkaar Group. Their profiles can be found on http://www.wef.ch/lastmiletop50india.

Top Last Mile Partnership Initiatives to collaborate with:

US President Joe Biden has announced a number of new measures to tackle COVID-19, in particular resistance to having vaccines. He announced policies requiring most federal employees to get a jab and pushing large employers to have their workers vaccinated or tested weekly.

The measures would apply to about two-thirds of all US employees - those who work for businesses with more than 100 workers.

"We've been patient," Biden told the tens of millions of Americans who have declined to get coronavirus shots. "But our patience is wearing thin, and your refusal has cost all of us."

The moves are expected to be subjected to political and legal challenges. You can see more details of the plan here.

World Health Organization Director-General Dr Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus on Wednesday called for more to be done to tackle vaccine inequity.

"There has been a lot of talk about vaccine equity, but too little action," he told a media briefing.

Some 5.5 billion vaccines doses have been administered globally, he explained. But, 80% of these have been given in high- and upper-middle-income countries.

COVID-19 vaccine doses administered by country income group.

Image: Our World in Data

He called on high-income counties and vaccine manufacturers to fulfil promises to donate doses. "We don't want any more promises. We just want the vaccines."

Dr Tedros also extended his call for a global moratorium on booster doses from the end of September until at least the end of the year "to enable every country to vaccinate at least 40% of its population".

Written by

Joe Myers, Writer, Formative Content

The views expressed in this article are those of the author alone and not the World Economic Forum.

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COVID-19: What you need to know about the coronavirus pandemic on 10 September - World Economic Forum

When Was the First U.S. Covid Death? CDC Investigates 4 Early Cases – The New York Times

September 11, 2021

Its a very emotional thing for some families, whether or not they want it on the death certificate, Dr. Gill said. It shouldnt be. Its a public health matter.

In spring 2020, Dr. Gill said, he became concerned that Connecticut was overlooking Covid-19 deaths, especially among nursing home residents whose complicated medical histories can sometimes obscure causes of death. In a few hundred cases, he said, the medical examiners office conducted deep nasal swabs on bodies at funeral homes. The team found a number of cases.

With China refusing to share more information about its own early cases, the World Health Organization recently said that it was helping researchers dig into reports of cases in late 2019 outside of China. In Italy, researchers have reported coronavirus antibodies in blood samples from September 2019, as well as signs of the virus in a patients skin sample from November of that year. Some scientists, though, have questioned both findings.

The further back you can go, the more informative it may be if you do have true, confirmed cases, said Marion Koopmans, a Dutch virologist whose lab retested the Italian blood samples and could not confirm the earliest cases. She added, For declaring a much earlier introduction of the pandemic virus into a region, you have to have a high level of certainty.

An analysis of American blood tests published this summer suggested that the virus may have been circulating in Illinois as early as Dec. 24, 2019, though scientists have said that those methods, too, are fallible.

Keri Althoff, an epidemiologist at the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health and lead author of that study, said that small clusters of cases could have developed without igniting a full-blown epidemic. Where Covid was seeded in the U.S. is not fully known, she said, but it wasnt likely to have been a single seed.

Alyssa Lukpat contributed reporting, and Susan Beachy contributed research.

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When Was the First U.S. Covid Death? CDC Investigates 4 Early Cases - The New York Times

Americans turn pessimistic amid concerns over economy and coronavirus – CNN

September 11, 2021

The new poll finds 69% of Americans say things in the country today are going badly, below the pandemic-era high of 77% reached in January just before President Joe Biden took office but well above the 60% who felt that way in a March CNN poll.

And 62% say that economic conditions in the US are poor, up from 45% in April and nearly as high as the pandemic-era peak of 65% reached in May 2020.

Biden's approval rating stands at 52% approve to 48% disapprove, with disapproval up since April. The survey was conducted throughout August and early September, and Biden's ratings shifted over that time, with his approval rating in the first half of August (55%) more positive than in later interviews (50%).

Vice President Kamala Harris' approval rating matches Biden's, with 52% approving and 48% disapproving, marking a 10-point increase in disapproval compared with April.

The survey shows a significant decline since April in approval for Biden on his handling of the coronavirus. All told, 56% approve of the way he is handling it, down from 66% in April. That shift comes amid widespread concern about the virus. Americans' worries about the coronavirus pandemic in their local community stand at a higher level than last summer, before vaccinations against the virus were available, with 70% now saying they are very or somewhat worried compared with 60% last summer. Democrats continue to express the deepest worry about the pandemic (58% are very worried), but sharp worry has climbed among Republicans, from 9% late last summer to 27% now.

At the same time, 77% of Americans say they are worried about the state of the economy in their community, up sharply from 58% who said the same last summer. That increase is largely driven by a negative shift among Republicans (from 28% worried last year to 85% worried now), but majorities across parties express concern about the economy (70% among Democrats, 76% among independents), and overall assessments of the state of the economy have worsened since the spring. In April, 54% said the economy was in good shape, the first time that figure had crossed 50% since before the start of the pandemic, but now, only 38% say the economy is in good shape, with declining ratings coming from both Democrats and Republicans.

The survey also finds a rise in concern about the risk of crime in the communities where Americans live, with 57% now saying they are worried, up from 37% late last summer. That shift has also come across party lines, with worry up 26 points among Republicans, 20 points among Democrats and 16 points among independents.

Coronavirus (36%) and the economy (20%) are most frequently mentioned as the most important issues facing the country. No other issue is named in an open-ended question by more than 9% of Americans. And when Americans are asked to name the top economic problem facing their family today, rising prices and the cost of living are the overwhelming top issue, with 43% naming something related to inflation or the cost of living as their most pressing problem.

Although just 4% name an issue related to crime or guns as the most important problem facing the country, most Americans (55%) say it is very important to them that the federal government address the increase in gun violence, slightly ahead of the share who say it's important that the government enact stronger laws to counteract racist policies and institutions (52% very important) and take aggressive action to slow the effects of climate change (51%). About half say it is very important for the federal government to make a significant investment in improving infrastructure (49%) or pass legislation that would expand access to voting (47%). A similar share, 49%, say it is very important for the federal government to take action to stop the movement of undocumented immigrants into the United States.

Americans' perceptions of how important these issues are, however, is deeply divided by party. Among Democrats, roughly 8 in 10 say it is very important to counteract racist policies, address gun violence, slow climate change and expand voting access, while fewer than 3 in 10 Republicans say the same. Republicans consider stemming the flow of undocumented immigrants far more important than do Democrats, 84% very important vs. 22%.

Americans express widespread anger about how things are going in the US, with 74% saying they are at least somewhat angry about things in the country today. That is about as widespread as last summer, but the feeling is less intense now. While 51% described themselves as "very angry" last year, just 26% feel the same way now, squarely between the level of intense anger measured in the first years of Donald Trump's (31%) and Barack Obama's (23%) presidencies.

The partisan dynamic behind those angry feelings has shifted in the last year. Anger has grown nearly 20 points among Republicans, while dropping almost 30 points among Democrats, but even with those shifts, majorities across parties say they are at least somewhat angry about the state of America today.

The new CNN Poll was conducted by SSRS August 3 through September 7 among a random national sample of 2,119 adults initially reached by mail. Interviews were either conducted online or by telephone with a live interviewer. Results for the full sample have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 2.8 percentage points.

The change in methodology means that shifts in results compared with prior CNN surveys may be at least partly due to differences in the ways respondents answer questions when they are filling out a survey themselves online vs. when they are talking to an interviewer on the phone, and in the increased number of poll-takers who express an opinion on most questions.

Earlier this year, some self-administered surveys found higher ratings and lower no opinion responses when asking about Biden's approval rating than did some telephone polls. For example, in April, around the 100-day mark of Biden's presidency when many pollsters were conducting research at roughly the same time, the AP-NORC Center poll, which, like the new CNN poll, is conducted mostly online with some telephone interviews, found Biden's approval rating at 63%, and a CBS News/YouGov poll conducted entirely online around that same time pegged his approval rating at 58%. CNN's April telephone poll stood at a lower 53% approval rating, with a higher share expressing no opinion on Biden's presidency. Both CBS News and AP-NORC released polls in late August that showed high-single digit declines in Biden's approval ratings. Polls conducted by phone over that same time have shown similarly sized drops in Biden's approval numbers, including an 8-point shift in the ABC News/Washington Post poll and a 10-point drop in NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist.

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Americans turn pessimistic amid concerns over economy and coronavirus - CNN

Coronavirus Ventilation: A New Way to Think About Air – The Atlantic

September 11, 2021

Updated at 3:00 p.m. ET on September 7, 2021

When London vanquished cholera in the 19th century, it took not a vaccine, or a drug, but a sewage system. The citys drinking water was intermingling with human waste, spreading bacteria in one deadly outbreak after another. A new comprehensive network of sewers separated the two. London never experienced a major cholera outbreak after 1866. All that was needed was 318 million bricks, 23 million cubic feet of concrete, and a major reengineering of the urban landscape.

The 19th and early 20th century saw a number of ambitious public-health efforts like this. The United States eliminated yellow fever and malaria, for example, with a combination of pesticides, wide-scale landscape management, and window screens that kept mosquitoes at bay. One by one, the diseases that people accepted as inevitable facts in lifedysentery, typhoid, typhus, to name a few morebecame unacceptable in the developing world. But after all this success, after all weve done to prevent the spread of disease through water and insects, we seem to have overlooked something. We overlooked air.

This turned out to have devastating consequences for the beginning of the coronavirus pandemic. The original dogma, you might remember, was that the novel coronavirus spread like the flu, through droplets that quickly fell out of the air. We didnt need ventilation or masks; we needed to wash our hands and disinfect everything we touched. But a year and half of evidence has made clear that the tiny virus-laden particles indeed linger in the air of poorly ventilated areas. It explains why outdoors is safer than in, why a single infected person can super-spread to dozens of others without directly speaking to or touching them. If we are to live with this coronavirus foreveras seems very likelysome scientists are now pushing to reimagine building ventilation and clean up indoor air. We dont drink contaminated water. Why do we tolerate breathing contaminated air?

Its not just about COVID-19. The scientists who recognized the threat of airborne coronavirus early did so because they spent years studying evidence thatcontrary to conventional wisdomcommon respiratory illnesses such as the flu and colds can also spread through the air. Weve long accepted colds and flus as inevitable facts of life, but are they? Why not redesign the airflow in our buildings to prevent them, too? Whats more, says Raymond Tellier, a microbiologist at McGill University, SARS-CoV-2 is unlikely to be the last airborne pandemic. The same measures that protect us from common viruses might also protect us from the next unknown pathogen.

To understand why pathogens can spread through the air, it helps to understand just how much of it we breathe. About eight to 10 liters a minute, says Catherine Noakes, who studies indoor air quality at the University of Leeds, in England. Think four or five big soda bottles per minute, multiply that by the number of people in a room, and you can see how we are constantly breathing in one anothers lung secretions.

The particles emitted when people cough, talk, or breathe come in a range of sizes. Weve all been unwittingly sprayed by large droplets of saliva from the mouth of an overenthusiastic talker. But smaller particles called aerosols can also form when the vocal cords vibrate to air rushing out from the lungs. And the smallest aerosols come from deep inside the lungs. The process of breathing, says Lidia Morawska, an aerosol scientist at Queensland University of Technology, in Australia, is essentially a process of forcing air through the lungs moist passages. She compares it to spraying a nebulizer or perfume bottle, in which liquidlung secretions, in this casebecomes suspended in exhaled air.

Even before SARS-CoV-2, studies of respiratory viruses like the flu and RSV have noted the potential for spread through fine aerosols. The tiny liquid particles seem to carry the most virus, possibly because they come from deepest in the respiratory tract. They remain suspended longest in the air because of their size. And they can travel deeper into other peoples lungs when breathed in; studies have found that a smaller amount of influenza virus is needed to infect people when inhaled as aerosols rather than sprayed up the nose as droplets. Real-world evidence stretching back decades also has suggested that influenza could spread through the air. In 1977, a single ill passenger transmitted the flu to 72 percent of the people on an Alaska Airlines flight. The plane had been grounded for three hours for repairs and the air-recirculation system had been turned off, so everyone was forced to breathe the same air.

In official public-health guidance, however, the possibility of flu-laden aerosols still barely gets a mention. The CDC and World Health Organization guidelines focus on large droplets that supposedly do not travel beyond six feet or one meter, respectively. (Never mind that scientists who actually study aerosols knew this six-foot rule violated the laws of physics.) The coronavirus should get us to take the airborne spread of flu and colds more seriously too, says Jonathan Samet, a pulmonary physician and epidemiologist at the Colorado School of Public Health. At the very least, it should spur research to establish the relative importance of different routes of transmission. We had done such limited research before on airborne transmission of common infections, Samet told me. This just wasnt seen as a major problem until now.

At the University of Maryland, Donald Miltonone of the few longtime airborne-transmission researchersis about to embark on a multiyear, controlled trial aimed at understanding influenza. Flu patients and healthy participants will share a room in this study. And they will take different precautions, such as hand-washing plus face shields or having good ventilation, which would presumably stop either droplet or aerosol transmission. The trial is meant to prove which intervention works the best, and thus which transmission route is dominant. When Milton had managed to get funding for a different aerosol study in the 2000s, he said a public-health official told him, Were funding you to put the nail in the coffin of the idea that aerosols are important. Now, Milton says, Well find out which direction the nail is being driven here.

A virus that lingers in the air is an uncomfortable and inconvenient revelation. Scientists who had pushed the WHO to recognize airborne transmission of COVID-19 last year told me they were baffled by the resistance they encountered, but they could see why their ideas were unwelcome. In those early days when masks were scarce, admitting that a virus was airborne meant admitting that our antivirus measures were not very effective. We want to feel were in control. If something is transmitted through your contaminated hands touching your face, you control that, Noakes said. But if somethings transmitted through breathing the same air, that is very, very hard for an individual to manage.

The WHO took until July 2020 to acknowledge that the coronavirus could spread through aerosols in the air. Even now, Morawska says, many public-health guidelines are stuck in a pre-airborne world. Where she lives in Australia, people are wearing face masks to walk down the street and then taking them off as soon as they sit down at restaurants, which are operating at full capacity. Its like some kind of medieval ritual, she says, with no regard for how the virus actually spreads. In the restaurants, theres no ventilation, she adds, which she knows because shes the type of scientist who takes an air-quality meter to the restaurant.

Earlier this year, Morawska and dozens of her colleagues in the fields of building science, public health, and medicine published an editorial in Science calling for a paradigm shift around indoor air. Yes, vaccines and masks work against the coronavirus, but these scientists wanted to think bigger and more ambitiousbeyond what any single person can do to protect themselves. If buildings are allowing respiratory viruses to spread by air, we should be able to redesign buildings to prevent that. We just have to reimagine how air flows through all the places we work, learn, play, and breathe.

The pandemic has already prompted, in some schools and workplaces, ad hoc fixes for indoor air: portable HEPA filters, disinfecting UV lights, and even just open windows. But these quick fixes amount to a Band-Aid in poorly designed or functioning buildings, says William Bahnfleth, an architectural engineer at Penn State University who is also a co-author of the Science editorial. (Tellier, Noakes, and Milton are authors too; the author list is a real whos who of the field.) Modern buildings have sophisticated ventilation systems to keep their temperatures comfortable and their smells pleasantwhy not use these systems to keep indoor air free of viruses too?

Indeed, hospitals and laboratories already have HVAC systems designed to minimize the spread of pathogens. No one I spoke with thought an average school or office building has to be as tightly controlled as a biocontainment facility, but if not, then we need a new and different set of minimum standards. A rule of thumb, Noakes suggested, is at least four to six complete air changes an hour in a room, depending on its size and occupancy. But we also need more detailed studies to understand how specific ventilation levels and strategies will actually reduce disease transmission among people. This research can then guide new indoor air-quality standards from the American Society of Heating, Refrigerating and Air-Conditioning Engineers (ASHRAE), which are commonly the basis of local building codes. Changing the building codes, Bahnfleth said, is what will actually get buildings to change their ventilation systems.

The challenge ahead is cost. Piping more outdoor air into a building or adding air filters both require more energy and money to run the HVAC system. (Outdoor air needs to be cooled, heated, humidified, or dehumidified based on the system; adding filters is less energy intensive but it could still require more powerful fans to push the air through.) For decades, engineers have focused on making buildings more energy efficient, and its hard to find a lot of professionals who are really pushing indoor air quality, Bahnfleth said. He has been helping set COVID-19 ventilation guidelines as chair of the ASHRAE Epidemic Task Force. The pushback based on energy usage, he said, was immediate. In addition to energy costs, retrofitting existing buildings might require significant modifications. For example, if you add air filters but your fans arent powerful enough, youre on the hook for replacing the fans too.

The question boils down to: How much disease are we willing to tolerate before we act? When London built its sewage system, its cholera outbreaks were killing thousands of people. What finally spurred Parliament to act was the stench coming off the River Thames during the Great Stink of 1858. At the time, Victorians believed that foul air caused disease, and this was an emergency. (They were wrong about exactly how cholera was spreading from the riverit was through contaminated waterbut they had ironically stumbled upon the right solution.)

COVID-19 does not kill as high a proportion of its victims as cholera did in the 19th century. But it has claimed well over 600,000 lives in the U.S. Even a typical flu season kills 12,000 to 61,000 people every year. Are these emergencies? If so, what would it take for us, collectively, to treat them as such? The pandemic has made clear that Americans do not agree on how far they are willing to go to suppress the coronavirus. If we cant get people to accept vaccines and wear masks in a pandemic, how do we get the money and the will to rehaul all our ventilation systems? The costs of that kind of large-scale infrastructure remodeling are astronomical, and the tendency is to look for other kinds of fixes, Nancy Tomes, a historian of medicine at Stony Brook University, said. Its also a problem distributed across millions of buildings, each with its own idiosyncrasies in layout and management. Schools, for example, have struggled to get the funds and make the ventilation upgrades in time for the school year.

In their Science editorial, Morawska and her co-authors wrote, While the scale of the changes required is enormous, this is not beyond the capabilities of our society, as has been shown in relation to food and waterborne disease, which have largely been controlled and monitored. Morawska is optimistic, which perhaps you have to be to embark on this endeavor. The changes might take too long to matter for this current pandemic, but there are other viruses that spread through the air, and there will be more pandemics. My whole drive is to do something for the future, she told me.

How much actually changes depends on the momentum created now, she said. She pointed out that the vaccines looked like they were going to quickly end the pandemicbut then they didnt, as the Delta variant complicated things. The longer this pandemic drags on, the steeper the cost of taking indoor air for granted.

Read more:

Coronavirus Ventilation: A New Way to Think About Air - The Atlantic

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